Yes position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 20.1%
- Current value
- $145.46
- Potential payout
- $725.51
- Potential profit
- $580.05
- Multiplier
- 4.99x
- User PnL
- $5.44
Polymarket Trader
0xa66e...206a
0xa66e741c61803873eaa906e8d643d41c3656206a
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $697.9
- Realized PnL
- -$68.78
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.9%
- Current value
- $23.17
- Potential payout
- $601.7
- Potential profit
- $578.53
- Multiplier
- 25.97x
- User PnL
- -$4.51
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 86.2%
- Current value
- $354.07
- Potential payout
- $410.99
- Potential profit
- $56.92
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$21.7
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80.9%
- Current value
- $142.59
- Potential payout
- $176.36
- Potential profit
- $33.77
- Multiplier
- 1.24x
- User PnL
- $10.32
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 74.1%
- Current value
- $32.61
- Potential payout
- $44.04
- Potential profit
- $11.43
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- $0.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.96
No position
Will the Kansas City Chiefs win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39.39
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $14.4
No position
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 80%
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- $11.52
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.83
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.28
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.73
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.34
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.49
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.19
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$1.41
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2.16
No position
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 59.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.67x
- User PnL
- -$4.17
Yes position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 19.2%
- Multiplier
- 5.22x
- User PnL
- -$5.2
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$6.75
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13.54
No position
Will Trump visit China by May 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$208.28
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.6% 601.7 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?Yes 19.3% 725.51 shares
- Will Trump visit China by May 31?No 28% 743.86 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.7% 39.64 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75% 216 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91.2% 11.66 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 70.9% 890.33 shares
- Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 78.9% 719.71 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 91% 755.82 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes 0.4% 594.17 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes 0.6% 594.17 shares
- Will the Houston Texans win Super Bowl 2026?No 93.6% 246.27 shares