Polymarket Trader

0xac8db3b4afea21b73ffdc92fjk

0xa67209aaa09ba891adb7d291310e49914472f083

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $418.46
Realized PnL: $289.52K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 9
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.93K
Potential profit: $17.93K
User PnL: -$4.94K

Yes position

Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17K
Potential profit: $17K
User PnL: -$1.46K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
User PnL: -$8.33K

Yes position

Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.62K
Potential profit: $3.62K
User PnL: -$362.26

Yes position

Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.42K
User PnL: -$940.25

No position

Will Matthew Stafford win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.26K
Potential profit: $1.26K
User PnL: -$605.8

Yes position

Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $719.94
Potential profit: $719.94
User PnL: -$251.98

No position

Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $418.46
Potential payout: $519.83
Potential profit: $101.37
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $75.38

Yes position

Fogo FDV above $500M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $29.83
Potential profit: $29.83
User PnL: -$14.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.95K

Yes position

Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.18K

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.98K

No position

Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?

Ends Jan 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.25K

No position

Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.86K

No position

Fed rate cut by May 1?

Ends May 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.15K

Yes position

Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?

Ends Apr 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.5K

Yes position

Will Beryl hit US as a hurricane?

Ends Jul 8, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.24K

Yes position

Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2025?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.19K

Yes position

Will the Government shutdown end November 12-15?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.94K

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.84K

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.45K

Yes position

US government shutdown by October 1?

Ends Oct 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.01K

No position

Will a Republican win Arizona US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.6K

No position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Sep 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.3K

No position

MSFT shareholders vote for Bitcoin investment?

Ends Dec 10, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.03K

Yes position

Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6K

No position

Will a Democrat win Michigan Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.92K

Yes position

2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.54K

No position

Will the Government shutdown end November 8-11?

Ends Nov 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.33K

No position

Will Tim Walz say "VC" or "Venture Capitalist" during the debate?

Ends Oct 1, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.15K

No position

Will Doug Burgum win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?

Ends Jul 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.86K

No position

Will a Republican win Wisconsin US Senate Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.71K

Yes position

Ethereum spot ETF approved by June 30?

Ends Jun 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.54K

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

New "Stranger Things" episode released by Wednesday?

No 99% 395.1 shares
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 93% 19,013.49 shares
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 8.6% 17,000 shares
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 67.5% 18,000 shares
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 64.4% 4,500 shares
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Yes 27.5% 17,924.5 shares
Will Drake Maye win the 2025–26 NFL MVP award?

Yes 65.9% 2,500 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 94% 9,637.48 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 91% 228.21 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 71% 5,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 72% 5,000 shares
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?

Yes 79% 5,000 shares