Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $187.09K
- Potential profit
- $187.09K
- User PnL
- -$3.16K
Polymarket Trader
0x8712
0xa67685fa5213fd8167977bfb7b3f50c06d511c22
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $84.45K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176K
- Potential profit
- $176K
- User PnL
- -$1.75K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100K
- Potential profit
- $100K
- User PnL
- -$381.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50K
- Potential profit
- $50K
- User PnL
- -$169.85
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40K
- Potential profit
- $40K
- User PnL
- -$79.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $31K
- Potential profit
- $31K
- User PnL
- -$594.89
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $28K
- Potential profit
- $28K
- User PnL
- -$199.58
No position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25K
- Potential profit
- $25K
- User PnL
- -$9.56K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $24K
- Potential profit
- $24K
- User PnL
- -$271.85
No position
Will Norway win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22K
- Potential profit
- $22K
- User PnL
- -$2.33K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$3.59K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 10 to February 17, 2026?
Ends Feb 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$60
Yes position
Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
No position
Clavicular pregnancy in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $18.07K
- Potential profit
- $18.07K
- User PnL
- -$2.18K
Yes position
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $16K
- User PnL
- -$4K
Yes position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16K
- Potential profit
- $16K
- User PnL
- -$884.94
No position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $14.03K
- Potential profit
- $14.03K
- User PnL
- -$3.12K
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $10 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$507.53
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $6 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$30
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $7 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$10
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$1.1K
No position
Will The Singers win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $10K
- User PnL
- -$60
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.55K
Yes position
Will Sinners win Best Cinematography at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.17K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.2K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.37K
No position
Will People’s Party (PPLE) win the most seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.22K
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 6 to February 13, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.31K
Yes position
Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.07K
Moez Echargui position
Madrid Open, Qualification: Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Moez Echargui
Ends Apr 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.22K
Yes position
Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.86K
Yes position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $15 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.25K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.08K
No position
Will Powell say "Comment" during March press conference?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94K
No position
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.86K
No position
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?
Ends May 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.79K
No position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.77K
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.62K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.56K
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.55K
No position
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $17 million?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54K
No position
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.44K
Yes position
Will Seguro win all of Portugal's districts?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36K
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?
Ends Apr 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33K
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.27K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Starmer out by June 30, 2026?Yes 30% 4,000 shares
- GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?No 20% 128.27 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?No 63% 659.25 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 79% 481.95 shares
- Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?Yes 7.6% 619.43 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 17?Yes 17.6% 500 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 19?No 57.8% 573 shares
- Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 18?No 61.2% 1,072.85 shares
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No 38.7% 147.86 shares
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No 32% 49.99 shares
- Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)No 34.9% 400 shares
- Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on May 17, 2026?No 10% 1,046 shares