No position
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90%
- Current value
- $1.43K
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $159.1
- Multiplier
- 1.11x
- User PnL
- $143.19
Polymarket Trader
AlanEdwards9594
0xa68049380b13bd1e61b694fbda281b21597dc13f
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.63K
- Realized PnL
- $1.47K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Pump.fun perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Current value
- $110.45
- Potential payout
- $597
- Potential profit
- $486.56
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- -$2.99
Yes position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $2.77
- Potential payout
- $168
- Potential profit
- $165.23
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$82.91
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.4%
- Current value
- $58.03
- Potential payout
- $59
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $13.78
No position
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 77.5%
- Current value
- $28.68
- Potential payout
- $37
- Potential profit
- $8.33
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- $5.74
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $0.01
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $2
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 37.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $238.28
No position
Will I Like It be played at the Super Bowl halftime show?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $206.33
No position
Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- User PnL
- $168
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 5 be greater than 2,300,000?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $141.68
Yes position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $121.68
Yes position
Will Noah rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $100.86
Yes position
Will "UFO" or "Alien" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.69
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $66.6
No position
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $56.84
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 18, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $54.27
Over position
Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Evansville Aces: O/U 142.5
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.62
No position
Up Only podcast released by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.84
Yes position
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 63.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.59x
- User PnL
- $26.58
No position
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $26.56
Yes position
Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-04?
Ends Feb 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.91
Yes position
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.6
Yes position
Will Trump say "Oil" or "Gas" 3+ times during the 2026 State of the Union address?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.14
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by May 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.62
No position
Will Arisa win Sanremo 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.32
Yes position
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.40 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.51
Yes position
Will the Steam Machine cost $700 or more at release?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $6.84
No position
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: Israel Edition
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Yes position
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 8% 262 shares
- U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?No 81% 1,591 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 22% 53 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 22% 77 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 22% 147 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 22% 274 shares
- Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 28% 591 shares
- Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal?No 50% 853 shares
- Will Malta advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?No 25% 551 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 30.3% 296 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 30.3% 118 shares
- Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be between 3.0% and 3.5%?No 82% 46 shares