No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $993.51
- Potential payout
- $999
- Potential profit
- $5.49
- User PnL
- $0.5
Polymarket Trader
0xA684E4448DCBbE41d7fdab5ab53b3b95Bb3C8310-1753946748214
0xa684e4448dcbbe41d7fdab5ab53b3b95bb3c8310
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $993.51
- Realized PnL
- -$576.74
- Win rate
- 77.3%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 22
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 43.8%
- Multiplier
- 2.29x
- User PnL
- $1.44K
No position
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.6
No position
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $36.8
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9
Japan position
AFC U23 Final: China vs. Japan
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.19
No position
Israel closes its airspace by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.15
No position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Iran leadership change by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1.03
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$5.5
Yes position
No change in Bank of Japan's interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Opinion FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$720
No position
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 56.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.78x
- User PnL
- -$1.39K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?No 99.3% 5 shares
- Iran leadership change by May 31?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?No 88.8% 5 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 97% 5 shares
- Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?No 90.9% 5 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?No 99.7% 5 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by May 31?No 96.9% 5 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?No 95.9% 5 shares
- Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.3% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 97% 25 shares
- Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?No 97.7% 1,600 shares
- Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?No 93% 1,400 shares