Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.5%
- Current value
- $29.91
- Potential payout
- $122.08
- Potential profit
- $92.17
- Multiplier
- 4.08x
- User PnL
- $14.16
Polymarket Trader
0xA6879231Db585117fFfA695Eb6c38BCc755353A5-1783427747887
0xa6879231db585117fffa695eb6c38bcc755353a5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $96.73
- Realized PnL
- $0.72
- Win rate
- 33.3%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 3
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (HIGH) $4.0T by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 3.6%
- Current value
- $4.05
- Potential payout
- $112.5
- Potential profit
- $108.45
- Multiplier
- 27.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.45
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 59.5%
- Current value
- $55.47
- Potential payout
- $93.22
- Potential profit
- $37.75
- Multiplier
- 1.68x
- User PnL
- $13.82
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $62,000 on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Current value
- $5.16
- Potential payout
- $44.83
- Potential profit
- $39.68
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- -$11.76
N
No position
Will GPT-5.6 be released on July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.15
- Potential payout
- $2.15
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
Yes position
GPT-5.6 released by July 7, 2026?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Multiplier
- 250.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.62
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?Yes 27.2% 5.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes 57% 4.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes 57% 5.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes 56.4% 8.84 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes 57% 5.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes 20% 22.41 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes 21.2% 53.79 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes 35% 11.69 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes 36% 9.58 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on July 8?Yes 34.5% 9.87 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on July 8?Yes 45% 8.52 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on July 8?Yes 12% 16.34 shares