Polymarket Trader

yolo197211

0xa69133fc17718bfae2b757b0e5e93337bb845752

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $139.65
Realized PnL: $18.84
Win rate: 41.7%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $161.92
Potential profit: $161.92
User PnL: -$5.52

Yes position

Will Hamnet win Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?

Ends Mar 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $145.5
Potential profit: $145.5
User PnL: -$3.24

No position

Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $137.35
Potential profit: $137.35
User PnL: -$6.28

No position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 54-55°F on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $58.05
Potential payout: $58.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $16.18

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6.2%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $42.71
Potential profit: $40.09
Multiplier: 16.26x
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $29.99
Potential payout: $29.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $3.5

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $22.09
Potential profit: $22.09
User PnL: -$1.28

No position

Will Randy Feenstra win the 2026 Iowa Governor Republican primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $20
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $18.8

No position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $14.99
Potential profit: $14.99
User PnL: -$3.11

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on May 9?

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $13
User PnL: -$1.43

No position

Will Novak Djokovic win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $11.99
Potential payout: $11.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $2.49

No position

Will Francisco Cerundolo win the 2026 Roland Garros Men's Singles?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $10
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $10
User PnL: -$1.1

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.8

Yes position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$1.75

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $4.99
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.22

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 46-47°F on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4
Potential profit: $4
User PnL: -$1.4

No position

Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $2
Potential payout: $2
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.09

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 450k and 500k?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.34

No position

Starmer out by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81

No position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.38

No position

Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.34

Yes position

Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: $0.31

No position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 98.2%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Multiplier: 4.56x
User PnL: $0.17

No position

Will France win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.11

No position

Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.09

No position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 79.5%
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.02

No position

Will Xavier Becerra finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$0.06

No position

Will Italy win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$0.09

Yes position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 10.4%
Multiplier: 9.66x
User PnL: -$0.1

No position

Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Ends Nov 1, 2026

Implied probability: 89.7%
Multiplier: 1.12x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.6%
Multiplier: 39.22x
User PnL: -$0.18

Yes position

Bank of Canada Rate Hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 31.5%
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.3%
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$0.26

Yes position

Will Letitia James be arrested before 2027?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 24.5%
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: -$0.35

No position

Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 90.4%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.44

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.67

No position

Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 40.5%
Multiplier: 2.47x
User PnL: -$0.79

Yes position

Bank of England rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 19.5%
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$1.31

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.38

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 21.36 shares
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 5.9% 21.36 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.5% 45 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 10.1% 11 shares
Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?

No 68.4% 22 shares
Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?

No 86% 17 shares
Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?

No 71.8% 3.01 shares
Will Future feature Playboi Carti on "The Real Me"?

No 71% 9 shares
Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?

No 88% 8 shares
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 2.7% 45.56 shares
Will Future feature Sexyy Red on "The Real Me"?

No 87% 9 shares
Will LeBron James play for the Miami Heat in 2026-27?

Yes 11% 11 shares