Polymarket Trader

Relaccsed

@Relaccsed

0xa6b7ebd5ce137c3b5d56f896a52eba71702bd5f3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.18K
Realized PnL: $37.96K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.1%
Current value: $4.42K
Potential payout: $31.23K
Potential profit: $26.81K
Multiplier: 7.07x
User PnL: $582.29

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $347.2
Potential payout: $8K
Potential profit: $7.65K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: -$44.8

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 14.6%
Current value: $671.8
Potential payout: $4.6K
Potential profit: $3.93K
Multiplier: 6.85x
User PnL: -$25.24

Yes position

Iran coup attempt by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $56.14
Potential payout: $4.16K
Potential profit: $4.1K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$38.8

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 17.1%
Current value: $707.56
Potential payout: $4.15K
Potential profit: $3.44K
Multiplier: 5.87x
User PnL: -$340.13

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $4K
Potential payout: $4.01K
Potential profit: $6.02
User PnL: $1.71K

Yes position

Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 10.1%
Current value: $167.46
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $1.49K
Multiplier: 9.90x
User PnL: -$84.39

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.5K
Potential profit: $472.43
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: $155.18

Yes position

Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $47.5
Potential payout: $1.42K
Potential profit: $1.37K
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: -$28.63

Yes position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $3.77
Potential payout: $1.08K
Potential profit: $1.07K
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$59.76

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by October 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22.5%
Current value: $231.04
Potential payout: $1.03K
Potential profit: $795.8
Multiplier: 4.44x
User PnL: $15.7

Yes position

US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $8
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $992
Multiplier: 125.00x
User PnL: -$42

Yes position

Will Trump publicly insult Mojtaba Khamenei by Friday?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $41.81
Potential payout: $929.06
Potential profit: $887.25
Multiplier: 22.22x
User PnL: -$4.65

Yes position

Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $9.99
Potential payout: $688.83
Potential profit: $678.84
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$39.59

Yes position

US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $673.37
Potential profit: $670.34
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$64.1

Yes position

Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $7.23
Potential payout: $657.3
Potential profit: $650.07
Multiplier: 90.91x
User PnL: -$13.15

No position

Will Netherlands be eliminated in the Round of 32 of the World Cup?

Ends Jul 19, 2026

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $406.4
Potential payout: $640
Potential profit: $233.6
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$11.2

No position

Will Abbas Araghchi sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $399.9
Potential payout: $601.36
Potential profit: $201.46
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $133.6

Yes position

U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 74%
Current value: $372.6
Potential payout: $503.51
Potential profit: $130.91
Multiplier: 1.35x
User PnL: $18.54

Yes position

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $2.52
Potential payout: $458.51
Potential profit: $455.99
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$4.36

Yes position

Will Trump praise Allah again by June 30?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 23.5%
Current value: $106.5
Potential payout: $453.18
Potential profit: $346.68
Multiplier: 4.26x
User PnL: -$103.89

No position

Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 21.9%
Current value: $88.78
Potential payout: $405.39
Potential profit: $316.61
Multiplier: 4.57x
User PnL: -$205.91

Yes position

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $50
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $350
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$68

Yes position

Will Spencer Pratt win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $3
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $397
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$15

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Israel military action against Iranian Power Plant by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.87K

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 12°C or below on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.64K

Yes position

Will Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.4K

Up position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on April 21?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.48K

Yes position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.44K

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.59K

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 17?

Ends May 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.51K

Yes position

Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49K

No position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48K

Yes position

Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 60% and 65%?

Ends Nov 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.43K

Yes position

Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.41K

No position

Will Israel take military action in Lebanon on March 20, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.33K

No position

Will Iran strike UAE again in March?

Ends Mar 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.3K

Yes position

Will Israel or the US target Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center nuclear facility?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.05K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.03K

No position

Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $910.71

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $889

Yes position

Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $874.31

Yes position

Will Donald Trump have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $835.79

Yes position

Will the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP) win the most seats in the 2026 West Bengal Legislative Assembly election?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $773.72

Yes position

Will Figure's F.03 robots push at least 250,000 packages by 10:00 PM on May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $770.72

Yes position

Will Israel strike Gaza on February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $683.19

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 43.8% 2,646.86 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 62% 305 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 56% 132.78 shares
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?

Yes 18.3% 1,500 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 7% 299.99 shares
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on June 16, 2026?

Yes 97.8% 10 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 43% 10 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 40.1% 500.07 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 57.5% 623.6 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 63% 502.43 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Yes 51% 15.64 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 38% 300 shares