Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $142.86
- Potential profit
- $142.86
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
al2026
0xa6c0300bf157059a4b1574367a7b9848a572fee0
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.81
- Realized PnL
- $39.15
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 35°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $112.49
- Potential profit
- $112.49
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 14°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $84.83
- Potential profit
- $84.83
- User PnL
- -$1.31
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 16 to April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 7°C on April 9?
Ends Apr 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.38
- Potential profit
- $32.38
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$4.32
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C on April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.8
- Potential profit
- $23.8
- User PnL
- -$0.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 76-77°F on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $23.68
- Potential profit
- $23.68
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 20°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $16.75
- Potential profit
- $16.75
- User PnL
- -$3.01
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 15°C on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.64
- Potential profit
- $10.64
- User PnL
- -$1.76
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.36
- Potential profit
- $7.36
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 30°C on April 20?
Ends Apr 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.99
- Potential profit
- $5.99
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.92
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 92-93°F on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.92
- Potential profit
- $5.92
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 65%
- Current value
- $3.75
- Potential payout
- $5.77
- Potential profit
- $2.02
- Multiplier
- 1.54x
- User PnL
- -$0.75
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.65
- Potential profit
- $5.65
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 24°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $5.56
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 74%
- Current value
- $4.06
- Potential payout
- $5.49
- Potential profit
- $1.43
- Multiplier
- 1.35x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$4.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 24°C or higher on June 6?
Ends Jun 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$4.5
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.36
- Potential profit
- $5.36
- User PnL
- -$4.45
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
Ends Apr 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.33
- Potential profit
- $5.33
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 26°C or higher on June 12?
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.27
- Potential profit
- $5.27
- User PnL
- -$5.01
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 23°C on April 4?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on April 5?
Ends Apr 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 32°C on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 32°C on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 32°C on June 9?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.61
No position
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 32°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 27°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.57
No position
Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 11?
Ends Jun 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.52
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C or higher on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 38°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C or higher on June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.44
No position
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 20°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.42
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.4
No position
Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 32°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on June 18?
Ends Jun 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.36
No position
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 27°C on June 5?
Ends Jun 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 86-87°F on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 3?No 96.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 4?No 84% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C on July 4?No 77% 5.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 4?No 78% 5.77 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 94-95°F on July 3?No 84% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Munich be 27°C on July 2?No 49% 5.36 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 1?No 32% 5.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 96-97°F on July 1?No 82% 5.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?No 97.3% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on July 1?No 82% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on July 1?No 78% 5 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 1?No 83% 5 shares