Yes position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.8%
- Current value
- $29.9
- Potential payout
- $520
- Potential profit
- $490.1
- Multiplier
- 17.39x
- User PnL
- -$74.1
Polymarket Trader
0xa6e3...85c6
0xa6e3d623eb7a5d1048db6921b3812720cdea85c6
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $280.79
- Realized PnL
- $63.72
- Win rate
- 42.1%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 19
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18%
- Current value
- $87.99
- Potential payout
- $488.83
- Potential profit
- $400.84
- Multiplier
- 5.56x
- User PnL
- -$58.66
Yes position
US strike on Cuba by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $160.9
- Potential payout
- $387.71
- Potential profit
- $226.81
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$56.22
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $146.96
- Potential profit
- $146.96
- User PnL
- -$66.13
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $2
- Potential payout
- $44.44
- Potential profit
- $42.44
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.87
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $129.55
Yes position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $124.67
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.09
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.45
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.8
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
Yes position
US strike on Mexico by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$8
No position
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.87
No position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$26.87
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$37
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 27, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$40
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$53.73
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$67.25
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$134.5
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?Yes 45% 146.96 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?No 72% 92.36 shares
- Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?Yes 33% 407.58 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?No 44% 61.07 shares
- Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?No 58% 46.33 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?Yes 25.4% 211.75 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?Yes 39.8% 270.34 shares
- US strike on Cuba by December 31?Yes 56% 387.71 shares
- US strike on Mexico by March 31?Yes 3.9% 129.21 shares
- US strike on Mexico by December 31?Yes 30% 488.83 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 20% 55 shares
- Will Israel strike Gaza on January 28, 2026?No 93.5% 5.97 shares