Yes position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 10.5%
- Current value
- $9.9
- Potential payout
- $94.32
- Potential profit
- $84.42
- Multiplier
- 9.52x
- User PnL
- -$41.5
Polymarket Trader
Nowo
0xa6e6eafca895640fdd624097eecd1b301cac480c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.9
- Realized PnL
- $239.31
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $37.5
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$9
No position
US government shutdown Saturday?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.23
- Potential profit
- $19.23
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $1.33
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.7
Ravens position
Ravens vs. Chargers
Ends Dec 2, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.85
Yes position
Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.08
Gukesh position
World Chess Championship 2024 Winner
Ends Dec 13, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $17.04
Yes position
Will Ap win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?
Ends Sep 8, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.75
Yes position
Will Magnus Carlsen win the Champions Chess Tour Finals?
Ends Dec 21, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.73
Yes position
Will Elon tweet 400-449 times Jan 10-17?
Ends Jan 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.29
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.98
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
Ends Apr 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.77
Yes position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.19
Yes position
Will BTS announce a new world tour in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.95
Yes position
Will Mark Carney be the next leader of the Canadian Liberal Party?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.52
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Panthers
Ends Jan 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.4
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2024 meeting?
Ends Dec 18, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.39
Yes position
Will all LA wildfires be fully contained before February?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.18
No position
Will Trump create Bitcoin reserve in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.64
Grizzlies position
Grizzlies vs. Timberwolves
Ends Jan 19, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.3
Yes position
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.74
Crawford position
Wisconsin Supreme Court election: Susan Crawford vs. Brad Schimel
Ends Apr 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.07
Yes position
Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?
Ends Feb 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.47
No position
Trump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?
Ends Apr 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.27
Yes position
Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?
Ends Jan 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.81
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.37
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 75% 1.33 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?Yes 16% 6.25 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?Yes 47% 10.64 shares
- GTA 6 launch postponed again?Yes 54.5% 94.32 shares
- Will Erin Doherty (Adolescence) win Best Supporting Actress – Television at the 83rd Golden Globes?Yes 64% 7.81 shares
- Will Mike Vrabel win NFL Coach of the Year?Yes 59% 8.47 shares
- Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?No 36% 25 shares
- Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?Yes 62% 24.19 shares
- Will Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?Yes 44% 34.08 shares
- Will "Golden - KPop Demon Hunters" win Best Original Song - Motion Picture at the 83rd Golden Globes?No 25.2% 19.87 shares
- Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?Yes 76% 19.74 shares
- Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?Yes 40% 37.5 shares