Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.84
Polymarket Trader
ayushlohmod
0xa6e8dabbac2d1e67b1ee3454605788a3ca133043
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0
- Realized PnL
- $4.17
- Win rate
- 75%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Latest Resolved Positions
No open position details returned
This trader has an open-position count, but open position cards are not available yet. Showing their latest closed positions instead.
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 33-34°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.47x
- User PnL
- $1.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be between 33-34°F on February 20?
Ends Feb 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Ripple above $2.45 on March 14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Elon tweet less than 450 times March 7-14?
Ends Mar 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.24
Yes position
Will the CDU/CSU be part of the next German government?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will the highest temperature in NYC be 52°F or below on March 18?
Ends Mar 18, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.14
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 50°F or below on March 24?
Ends Mar 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 again by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Pierbattista Pizzaballa be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Israel closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Lee Jae-myung win 2nd place in the South Korean presidential election?
Ends Jun 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will the Houston Rockets win the 2025 NBA Finals?
Ends Jun 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will Jose Tolentino de Mendonca be the next pope?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Poland finish in the 2025 Eurovision top 5?
Ends May 17, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the New York Mets win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Trump impose tariffs on France in the first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Alberta join the US?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.7%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel closes its airspace by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 18.5%
- Multiplier
- 5.41x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.70x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 32%
- Multiplier
- 3.13x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 87.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 96.6% 22 shares
- Will Gustavo Petro be the next leader out before 2027?No 96.6% 50 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 35% 80 shares
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by July 31?Yes 35% 35.72 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 89% 27 shares
- Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026?No 89% 27 shares
- Israel withdraws from Lebanon by August 31, 2026?No 85% 52 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 8% 48 shares
- Will Israeli forces withdraw from beyond the Litani River by June 30?Yes 9% 192 shares
- Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?Yes 60% 77 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 34 shares
- Israel closes its airspace by July 31?Yes 16% 88 shares