No position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.5K
- Potential profit
- $3.5K
- User PnL
- -$16.5
Polymarket Trader
0xa6eDE107f4C4b42f10AD115a41bB7E2fb001D2Bf-1731650086808
0xa6ede107f4c4b42f10ad115a41bb7e2fb001d2bf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $390
- Realized PnL
- -$194.25
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.85K
- Potential profit
- $2.85K
- User PnL
- -$40.75
Y
Yes position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $390
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.61K
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- -$90
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$200
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $737.66
- Potential profit
- $737.66
- User PnL
- -$165.59
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.34
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $386.48
Yes position
Will lighter perform an airdrop by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $216.52
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $143.04
Yes position
Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 50% in February?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.1
No position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $41.22
Yes position
Will Moonshot be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$29.61
Yes position
Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.35
Yes position
Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$105
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$150
Yes position
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$305.66
Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$350
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?Yes 24% 2,000 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?Yes 25% 800 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 5% 350 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?Yes 3% 1,000 shares
- Will US or Israel strike Iran on March 3, 2026?No 6.8% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?Yes 38.2% 236.03 shares
- Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?No 0.9% 1,500 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?Yes 38% 207.89 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?Yes 19% 489.21 shares
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No 99.9% 91.81 shares
- Will Robinhood be accused of insider trading?Yes 0.1% 1,048.21 shares
- Will Meteora be accused of insider trading?No 55% 91.82 shares