Polymarket Trader

0xa6f51Cb84401D319D204D9B00BCd95260Be31b2F-1780169492621

0xa6f51cb84401d319d204d9b00bcd95260be31b2f

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $49.99
Realized PnL: -$18.14
Win rate: 45.5%
Open positions: 21
Closed positions: 11
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $11.5
Potential payout: $333.33
Potential profit: $321.83
Multiplier: 28.99x
User PnL: -$8.5

Yes position

Will Trump be impeached by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.8%
Current value: $7
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $243
Multiplier: 35.71x
User PnL: -$13

Yes position

Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $8.86
Potential payout: $136.36
Potential profit: $127.5
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.14

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $131.58
Potential profit: $129.74
Multiplier: 71.43x
User PnL: -$3.16

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 3.8%
Current value: $4.33
Potential payout: $115.38
Potential profit: $111.06
Multiplier: 26.67x
User PnL: -$10.67

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.91
User PnL: -$30

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $16.46
Potential payout: $76.55
Potential profit: $60.09
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$18.54

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62
Potential profit: $62
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?

Ends Oct 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $45.45
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $34.51
Potential profit: $34.51
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

Ends Aug 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $33.9
Potential profit: $33.9
User PnL: -$20

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $27.78
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20.89
Potential profit: $20.89
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $15.15
Potential profit: $15.15
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $11.11
Potential profit: $11.11
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.64
Potential profit: $10.64
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.62
Potential profit: $9.62
User PnL: -$5

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.41
Potential profit: $7.41
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.12

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 15?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.16

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.54

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$2.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Ends Jun 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

No position

US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$50

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

No 54% 7.41 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 48% 41.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Down 35% 14.29 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET

Down 52% 9.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Up 73% 6.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Up 41% 12.2 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Down 15% 33.33 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 11, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET

Down 38% 13.16 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 43% 34.88 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by September 30 2026?

Yes 13% 115.38 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by August 31 2026?

Yes 3.8% 131.58 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?

No 59% 33.9 shares