0xA6f773c77C876310757a44224B261B668dd51F33-1768165307891

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.3
Potential payout: $50.01
Potential profit: $49.71
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Glencore and Rio Tinto sale/merger announced by June 30?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $0.25
Potential payout: $50
Potential profit: $49.75
Multiplier: 200.00x
User PnL: -$4.25

Yes position

Will Loopscale launch a token by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.29
Potential payout: $49
Potential profit: $48.71
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$5.1

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly be the next Senate Majority Leader?

Ends Jan 3, 2027

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.77
Potential payout: $45
Potential profit: $44.24
Multiplier: 58.82x
User PnL: -$2.39

Yes position

Will Databricks’ market cap be between $200B and $250B at market close on IPO day?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $29.94
Multiplier: 500.00x
User PnL: -$4.74

Yes position

Will Gina Raimondo announce a Presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 4.5%
Current value: $1.29
Potential payout: $29
Potential profit: $27.71
Multiplier: 22.47x
User PnL: -$1.09

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $7,850 (HIGH) in June?

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.19
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.81
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.06

Yes position

Anthropic acquired before 2027?

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $0.41
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $24.59
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$1.66

Yes position

Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.04
Potential payout: $24
Potential profit: $23.96
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will Chris Oladokun start Week 1 for the Chiefs in 2026?

Ends Sep 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $13
Potential profit: $12.97
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.36

Yes position

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $15B by December 31?

Implied probability: 51%
Current value: $5.44
Potential payout: $10.67
Potential profit: $5.23
Multiplier: 1.96x
User PnL: $0.53

Yes position

US grants license for new nuclear reactor in 2026?

Implied probability: 25.5%
Current value: $2.71
Potential payout: $10.62
Potential profit: $7.91
Multiplier: 3.92x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Mexico’s 2026 Annual Inflation be between 4.50% and 4.99%?

Ends Jan 8, 2027

Implied probability: 16.5%
Current value: $1.53
Potential payout: $9.29
Potential profit: $7.76
Multiplier: 6.06x
User PnL: -$0.33

Yes position

Will any AI model reach 1550 Coding Arena Score by June 30, 2026?

Implied probability: 1.9%
Current value: $0.16
Potential payout: $8.52
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 52.63x
User PnL: -$3.76

Yes position

Ledger IPO closing market cap above $5B?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $1.84
Potential payout: $8.01
Potential profit: $6.17
Multiplier: 4.35x
User PnL: -$0.48

Yes position

Over 8 coins launched in 2026 end the year in the top 100?

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $2.85
Potential payout: $6
Potential profit: $3.15
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$1.47

Yes position

Will James Richardson be the Republican nominee for AL-01?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.03
Potential payout: $5.51
Potential profit: $5.48
Multiplier: 166.67x
User PnL: -$0.3

Yes position

Relay FDV above $300M one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 37%
Current value: $1.87
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $3.18
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: -$1.01

Yes position

Will USD/CAD hit 1.45 (High) in 2026?

Implied probability: 44%
Current value: $2.21
Potential payout: $5.02
Potential profit: $2.81
Multiplier: 2.27x
User PnL: $0.3

Yes position

Will the US federal government take a stake in The Boeing Company?

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $1.08
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $3.93
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$0.13

Yes position

Will Russia enter Stinky by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 22%
Current value: $1.1
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 4.55x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Over $160B wagered on US sports betting in 2026?

Implied probability: 79.3%
Current value: $3.91
Potential payout: $4.94
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Marjorie Taylor Greene announce a presidential run before 2027?

Implied probability: 14.5%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $4.21
Multiplier: 6.90x
User PnL: -$0.17

Yes position

Base FDV above $6B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2028

Implied probability: 28.5%
Current value: $1.39
Potential payout: $4.88
Potential profit: $3.49
Multiplier: 3.51x
User PnL: -$0.8

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-01-24?

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $81.66

Yes position

Will RB Leipzig vs. VfL Wolfsburg end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.94

Yes position

Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-02-08?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.82

Delaware Fightin Blue Hens position

Delaware Fightin' Blue Hens vs. Missouri State Bears

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

Yes position

Will Juventus FC vs. SS Lazio end in a draw?

Ends Feb 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.06

Yes position

Will Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-15?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.44

Samford Bulldogs position

Samford Bulldogs vs. East Tennessee State Buccaneers

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.69

Yes position

Will Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Newcastle United FC end in a draw?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.43

Yes position

Will Albacete Balompié vs. Real Sporting de Gijón end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.42

Yes position

Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.57

Yes position

Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-01-25?

Ends Jan 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.61

Wizards position

Wizards vs. Pistons

Ends Feb 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.66

Yes position

Will FC St. Pauli 1910 win on 2026-02-07?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.38

Yes position

Will Burnley FC win on 2026-02-11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $30.71

Wizards position

Trail Blazers vs. Wizards

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.03

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Thunder

Ends Jan 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Pacers position

Pacers vs. Knicks

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.25

Yes position

Will Miguel Lopez get engaged on Love is Blind: Ohio?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.62

Cleveland Monsters position

AHL: Cleveland Monsters vs. Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

Yes position

Will Derby County FC win on 2026-02-14?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.46

North Carolina A&T Aggies position

Hampton Pirates vs. North Carolina A&T Aggies

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.58

Nuggets position

Clippers vs. Nuggets

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.25

Team USA Stars position

Team World vs. Team USA Stars

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $20.71

North Texas Mean Green position

North Texas Mean Green vs. Temple Owls