No position
StandX FDV above $2B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 80.3%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $4.07
- Potential profit
- $0.8
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
Polymarket Trader
stempede
0xa70cf4dd6e4d9c50d5a5fcdf26b83ea76823837b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $12.27
- Realized PnL
- $48.64
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 4
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $3.81
- Potential payout
- $3.92
- Potential profit
- $0.11
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $2.69
- Potential payout
- $2.7
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $2.5
- Potential payout
- $2.63
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 5, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.78
No position
Will 7-9 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.94
Yes position
Bitcoin all time high by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
Yes position
Circle IPO in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.69
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.45
Yes position
Will four SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach outer space in 2024?
Ends Dec 30, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $106,000 on November 5?
Ends Nov 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.12
Yes position
September temperature increase by between 1.23-1.28°C?
Ends Jan 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on April 18?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.66
No position
Solana all time high by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.64
No position
Will the New York Yankees win the 2025 World Series?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $115,000 by February 28, 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
Farcaster airdrop in Q1 2025?
Ends Mar 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Will Ethereum hit $8,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.46
No position
Pavel Durov leaves France in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.45
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be inaugurated?
Ends Jan 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Ethereum above $3,000 on November 15?
Ends Nov 15, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on December 2?
Ends Dec 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Taylor Swift engaged in 2024?
Ends Dec 31, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $780 in June?No 97% 3.92 shares
- Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 93.4% 2.63 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on June 5?No 99.9% 122.3 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.3% 2.72 shares
- Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $4.00 in May?No 98.3% 6.65 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?No 98.5% 4.92 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?No 99.8% 3.83 shares
- Will XRP reach $2.00 in May?No 96.7% 3.91 shares
- Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $240 in May?No 88% 3.84 shares
- Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $280 in May?No 99.6% 3.35 shares
- Trump out as President by May 31?No 99.2% 5.8 shares
- Will the price of Bitcoin be between $68,000 and $70,000 on April 28?No 99.8% 162.83 shares