No position
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20K
- Potential profit
- $20K
- User PnL
- -$20
Polymarket Trader
0xa70DB70B002A7da7a23599440eE89FD0B948De5d-1782068504704
0xa70db70b002a7da7a23599440ee89fd0b948de5d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $52.79
- Realized PnL
- $2.35
- Win rate
- 50%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 2
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $999.5
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $500
- Potential profit
- $499.25
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.5
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $332.83
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
Yes position
Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.15
- Potential payout
- $300.99
- Potential profit
- $300.84
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.85
Yes position
Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.84
- Potential payout
- $186.23
- Potential profit
- $185.4
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Current value
- $0.83
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $165.83
- Multiplier
- 200.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will Trump agree to Iranian transit fees in the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $2.56
- Potential payout
- $111.11
- Potential profit
- $108.56
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
No position
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $5.63
- Potential payout
- $75
- Potential profit
- $69.38
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$0.38
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $0.43
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $45.02
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.57
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $37.7
- Potential profit
- $36.96
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Fed rate hike in 2026?
Ends Dec 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $18.55
- Potential payout
- $32.26
- Potential profit
- $13.71
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$1.45
Yes position
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.3%
- Current value
- $1.54
- Potential payout
- $24.39
- Potential profit
- $22.85
- Multiplier
- 15.87x
- User PnL
- $0.54
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $0.74
- Potential payout
- $23.26
- Potential profit
- $22.51
- Multiplier
- 31.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.26
Yes position
Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $1.03
- Potential payout
- $20.41
- Potential profit
- $19.38
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Will Oman sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.5%
- Current value
- $0.71
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $19.29
- Multiplier
- 28.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.29
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.5%
- Current value
- $0.75
- Potential payout
- $16.67
- Potential profit
- $15.92
- Multiplier
- 22.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.2%
- Current value
- $10.02
- Potential payout
- $10.75
- Potential profit
- $0.74
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will Qatar sign the US x Iran memorandum of understanding?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $0.86
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $8.23
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.14
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 25.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $8
- Potential profit
- $5.96
- Multiplier
- 3.92x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 13, 2026?
Ends Aug 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $0.89
- Potential payout
- $7.14
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.11
Yes position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 18, 2026?
Ends Aug 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $1.19
- Potential payout
- $5.56
- Potential profit
- $4.36
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $0.19
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Current value
- $1.04
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.81
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?Yes 42% 9.52 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 93% 10.75 shares
- Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?Yes 68% 7.35 shares
- Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 58% 1.72 shares
- Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 8% 75 shares
- Will Google have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.9% 20.41 shares
- Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 300.99 shares
- Will xAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.3% 333.33 shares
- Will DeepSeek have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 0.5% 186.23 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 2.7% 37.7 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?Yes 4.3% 23.26 shares