Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 39.5%
- Current value
- $256.18
- Potential payout
- $648.56
- Potential profit
- $392.38
- Multiplier
- 2.53x
- User PnL
- -$33.82
Polymarket Trader
0xA715163ac646C07eab42D97DCA013fe31791b91C-1766647117106
0xa715163ac646c07eab42d97dca013fe31791b91c
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $375.6
- Realized PnL
- $72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Iran Nuke before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.1%
- Current value
- $119.41
- Potential payout
- $126.97
- Potential profit
- $7.55
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $7.42
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $26.71
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $21.95
Yes position
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- $5.9
Yes position
Will Iran strike Jordan in March?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.12
No position
Will Israel strike 2 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.34
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.83
No position
Will Hamas agree to disarm by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.31
No position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.94
Yes position
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?
Ends Mar 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
No position
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.43
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 96.7% 10.78 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 44.5% 202.26 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 44.4% 337.6 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 46% 108.7 shares
- Netanyahu out by March 31?No 92.7% 10.79 shares
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes 83% 30.12 shares
- Iran Nuke before 2027?No 88% 113.64 shares
- Will Iran strike Jordan in March?Yes 82% 121.95 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?Yes 81% 8.32 shares
- Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 3, 2026?Yes 80% 6.25 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?Yes 89% 5.62 shares
- Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 7?Yes 95% 5.26 shares