Polymarket Trader

BadBaus

0xa721606ba1293473ce88a11bc945295787acb3f0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $305.68
Realized PnL: $8.49K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 8
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 6.9%
Current value: $86.25
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.16K
Multiplier: 14.49x
User PnL: -$13.75

Yes position

Epstein client list released by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.2%
Current value: $5.27
Potential payout: $438.98
Potential profit: $433.71
Multiplier: 83.33x
User PnL: -$194.73

Thunder position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$200

Timberwolves position

Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $3.34
Potential payout: $318.46
Potential profit: $315.12
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$6.66

Yes position

Will Paramount close Warner Bros acquisition?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 82%
Current value: $206.51
Potential payout: $251.85
Potential profit: $45.33
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $6.51

Spurs position

Timberwolves vs. Spurs

Ends May 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $136.99
Potential profit: $136.99
User PnL: -$100

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4.1%
Current value: $4.31
Potential payout: $106.38
Potential profit: $102.07
Multiplier: 24.69x
User PnL: -$5.69

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 2?

Ends Jan 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.52K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 5?

Ends Jan 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $910.92

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on January 1?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $601.16

Jazz position

Jazz vs. Spurs

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $497.65

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 4?

Ends Jan 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $410.66

Spurs position

Spurs vs. Thunder

Ends Dec 25, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $376.19

Suns position

Suns vs. Pelicans

Ends Dec 27, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $353.8

Wizards position

Grizzlies vs. Wizards

Ends Dec 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $340.39

No position

Lighter market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $328.06

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $96,000 on January 15?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.75

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $276.61

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Hornets

Ends Jan 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $248.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 13?

Ends Jan 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $235.29

Celtics position

Pacers vs. Celtics

Ends Dec 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $222.98

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on January 12?

Ends Jan 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.16

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 28?

Ends Jan 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.91

Yes position

Thailand x Cambodia ceasefire by December 31?

Ends Dec 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $203.03

Raptors position

Raptors vs. Heat

Ends Dec 24, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.82

Knicks position

Heat vs. Knicks

Ends Dec 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $185.91

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 29?

Ends Dec 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $181.57

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.77

Yes position

Will Anthony Joshua win his boxing match against Jake Paul?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $173.44

Nuggets position

Nuggets vs. Bucks

Ends Jan 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $170.27

Yes position

Will "Stranger Things: Season 5" be the top US Netflix show this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.25

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

No 92% 65.06 shares
Will SpaceX's valuation hit (LOW) $1.35T by June 30?

No 76.8% 65.06 shares
Will Sister Sage die in "The Boys: Season 5"?

No 58.8% 85.08 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 35% 285.71 shares
Spurs vs. Thunder

Thunder 70% 142.86 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Yes 8% 1,250 shares
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Yes 3.1% 318.46 shares
Spurs vs. Timberwolves

Timberwolves 2.5% 400 shares
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?

No 51.3% 192.3 shares
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?

No 51% 576.92 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Yes 9.4% 106.38 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

No 88% 227.27 shares