Polymarket Trader

0xA73165533895DDf65935FD783370db1eb8c40Ad4-1768390448910

0xa73165533895ddf65935fd783370db1eb8c40ad4

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $11.79
Realized PnL: $117.44
Win rate: 31.3%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 16
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $5K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $5.63
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.24K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: $0.63

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will the DHS shutdown last 52 days or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $838.16
Potential profit: $838.16
User PnL: -$5

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $833.33
Potential profit: $833.33
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $798.41
Potential profit: $798.41
User PnL: -$10

No position

Will Adobe (ADBE) beat quarterly earnings?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $735.03
Potential profit: $735.03
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $625
Potential profit: $625
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed Cut–Pause–Cut in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $566.88
Potential profit: $566.88
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.7% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.04
Potential profit: $485.04
User PnL: -$0.97

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 2.8% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $485.03
Potential profit: $485.03
User PnL: -$0.97

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $416.67
Potential profit: $416.67
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $400
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Ends Sep 16, 2026

Implied probability: 1.6%
Current value: $6.16
Potential payout: $385.1
Potential profit: $378.94
Multiplier: 62.50x
User PnL: $2.34

Yes position

Will xAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $383.48
Potential profit: $383.48
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $375
Potential profit: $375
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will annual inflation increase by 3.0% in March?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $331.68
Potential profit: $331.68
User PnL: -$4.85

Yes position

Will DeepSeek have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.86
Potential profit: $285.86
User PnL: -$1

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285.71
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $279.94
Potential profit: $279.94
User PnL: -$104

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model for math on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$1

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 9, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.93

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.37

Yes position

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.8

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.71

Yes position

Will there be 60 or more average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$0.56

Yes position

Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 12, 2026?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1.19

No position

US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: -$2.67

Yes position

Kevin Warsh cuts rates at first Fed meeting?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.33

Yes position

Will there be between 50 and 60 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$3.96

Yes position

Will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the Strait of Hormuz on March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?

Ends Apr 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.3

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$4.43

Yes position

US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$8.29

Yes position

Military action against Iran ends on April 8, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$11.89

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?

Yes 1% 385.1 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.1% 98.04 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.3% 1,666.67 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.8% 625 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 5.1% 98.04 shares
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 0.4% 1,250 shares
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?

No 3.4% 147.06 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 17% 23.53 shares
Will Chelsea Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Yes 0.8% 555.55 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?

Yes 39% 256.41 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

No 0.6% 833.33 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 1.2% 416.67 shares