Polymarket Trader

0xa738...a520

0xa738a20c8733f00b87ab9633f331cd05b040a520

Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section

Open value: $122.11
Realized PnL: $389.03
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 17
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.08
Potential payout: $30.25
Potential profit: $30.17
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$4.76

Yes position

Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 18.5%
Current value: $5.6
Potential payout: $30.25
Potential profit: $24.65
Multiplier: 5.41x
User PnL: $0.76

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 98.1%
Current value: $27.85
Potential payout: $28.39
Potential profit: $0.54
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $26.17

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?

Ends Jun 27, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $10.47
Potential payout: $25.24
Potential profit: $14.77
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $3.57

Yes position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 97.7%
Current value: $14.89
Potential payout: $15.25
Potential profit: $0.36
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $10.01

Yes position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 41.5%
Current value: $5.42
Potential payout: $13.08
Potential profit: $7.66
Multiplier: 2.41x
User PnL: $0.45

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 36.5%
Current value: $4.49
Potential payout: $12.3
Potential profit: $7.81
Multiplier: 2.74x
User PnL: -$0.43

Yes position

Will the Democrats win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.54
Potential payout: $10.45
Potential profit: $5.9
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.37

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 86.3%
Current value: $6.56
Potential payout: $7.6
Potential profit: $1.05
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $1.62

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $7.16
Potential payout: $7.19
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $0.2

No position

Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?

Ends Oct 27, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $4.06
Potential payout: $6.25
Potential profit: $2.19
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$0.88

No position

Will Microsoft acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.6%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.24

Yes position

Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.24
Potential payout: $5.25
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.25

Yes position

Will Freddie Mac not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.23
Potential payout: $5.24
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.24

No position

Will Walmart acquire TikTok?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.7%
Current value: $5.16
Potential payout: $5.18
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $0.17

Yes position

Will Fannie Mae not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.07
Potential payout: $5.08
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.08

Yes position

Will Discord not IPO by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $5.05
Potential profit: $0
User PnL: $0.05

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.92

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - January 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.73

Kings position

Kings vs. Grizzlies

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.45

Bulls position

Spread: Knicks (-9.5)

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $24.41

Celtics position

Celtics vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.34

Mavericks position

Mavericks vs. Pacers

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.08

Bulls position

Spread: Knicks (-10.5)

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 9AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.91

Bucks position

Cavaliers vs. Bucks

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.23

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 11AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.06

Isurus position

Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.22

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Mexico City be 26°C on June 14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - January 31, 7PM ET

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.1

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 17°C on June 12?

Ends Jun 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.09

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 2PM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.63

Magic position

Spread: Clippers (-2.5)

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.67

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 10AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.98

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 23, 7AM ET

Ends Feb 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.65

Suns position

Lakers vs. Suns

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.27

Magic position

Magic vs. Lakers

Ends Feb 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.88

Pittsburgh Pirates position

Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Arizona Diamondbacks

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.38

TNC position

Counter-Strike: Favbet vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.03

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?

Yes 57.4% 5.11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 33°C on June 26?

No 96.8% 7.19 shares
Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 30°C on June 26?

Yes 5.9% 33.5 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?

Yes 28% 8.54 shares
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on June 27?

Yes 27% 16.7 shares
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

Côte dIvoire 99.9% 7.41 shares
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?

Yes 99.9% 7.5 shares
Côte d'Ivoire leading at halftime?

Yes 66% 7.5 shares
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

Côte dIvoire 67% 2.87 shares
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-1.5)

Côte dIvoire 67% 4.55 shares
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-3.5)

Côte dIvoire 25% 19.48 shares
Spread: Côte d'Ivoire (-2.5)

Côte dIvoire 42% 11.67 shares