No position
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $21.05K
- Potential payout
- $21.19K
- Potential profit
- $137.72
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Polymarket Trader
Lolololol
@goldenhotplasma
0xa74581ebc457ca0ac679e6cb8851edc40c928ca6
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $86.9K
- Realized PnL
- $13.15K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 13
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $15.84K
- Potential payout
- $15.9K
- Potential profit
- $63.61
- User PnL
- $837.43
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $15.68K
- Potential payout
- $15.75K
- Potential profit
- $70.88
- User PnL
- $678.26
No position
Jerome Powell federally charged by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $7.76K
- Potential payout
- $7.79K
- Potential profit
- $27.27
- User PnL
- $569.99
No position
Will Tim Walz resign by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $5.78K
- Potential payout
- $5.79K
- Potential profit
- $11.59
- User PnL
- $393.29
No position
GTA VI released before June 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $5K
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $171.13
No position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $4.38K
- Potential payout
- $4.39K
- Potential profit
- $8.78
- User PnL
- $208.78
No position
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $3.79K
- Potential payout
- $3.8K
- Potential profit
- $9.49
- User PnL
- $181.61
No position
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $2.3K
- Potential payout
- $2.32K
- Potential profit
- $17.42
- User PnL
- $182.25
Yes position
Will Databricks not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $2.12K
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $9.59
- User PnL
- $129.17
No position
US x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $1.29K
- Potential payout
- $1.3K
- Potential profit
- $7.77
- User PnL
- $47.69
Yes position
Will Anthropic not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $1.07K
- Potential payout
- $1.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.23
- User PnL
- $76.54
Yes position
Will Stripe not IPO by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.8%
- Current value
- $828.77
- Potential payout
- $830.85
- Potential profit
- $2.08
- User PnL
- $45.75
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2K
No position
ICE Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65K
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $997.05
No position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $722.96
No position
Xi Jinping out before October?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $698.2
Yes position
Will Golden - KPop Demon Hunters win Best Original Song at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $550.46
No position
Tim Walz charged by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $457.15
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $420.12
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $411.35
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 7?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $337.61
Yes position
Will Jake Paul win his boxing match against Mike Tyson?
Ends Jul 20, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $331.49
No position
Lisa Cook out as Fed Governor by December 31?
Ends Sep 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $325.56
No position
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $323.45
No position
Fed rate cut by January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $306.68
Yes position
Will KPop Demon Hunters win Best Animated Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $302.34
Yes position
Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $301.69
No position
Jerome Powell arrested by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $298.9
No position
Dogecoin all time high before 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $287.27
No position
Obama federally charged in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $278.52
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $255.95
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $230.76
No position
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $228.97
No position
Will XRP reach $3.10 in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $226.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump visit China by March 31?No 12.7% 10,204 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?No 98.2% 9,616.1 shares
- GTA VI released before June 2026?No 96.9% 3,396.53 shares
- Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in February?No 99.2% 8,888 shares
- Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?No 99% 3,666 shares
- Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?No 98.8% 136.5 shares
- Evidence Epstein blackmailed politicians released by Feb 28?No 98.4% 1,360.97 shares
- Will the State of the Union address be delayed?No 97% 227.5 shares
- Will the State of the Union address be delayed?No 96.8% 867.45 shares
- Will the State of the Union address be delayed?No 96% 3,743.48 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $50?Yes 99.4% 670.99 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) finish week of February 16 above $40?Yes 99.8% 662.6 shares