No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $62.42
- Potential payout
- $98.3
- Potential profit
- $35.88
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- $17.2
Polymarket Trader
0xa748...a0bd
0xa748f6087ce1b49899c7989d0adbf5883bb8a0bd
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $246.06
- Realized PnL
- $0
- Win rate
- Unavailable
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 0
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $34.43
- Potential payout
- $35.08
- Potential profit
- $0.65
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93%
- Current value
- $31.21
- Potential payout
- $33.56
- Potential profit
- $2.35
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0
No position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 97.3%
- Current value
- $27.01
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $0.76
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- -$0.24
Yes position
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Current value
- $22.55
- Potential payout
- $24.38
- Potential profit
- $1.83
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$0.37
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 88%
- Current value
- $21.26
- Potential payout
- $24.16
- Potential profit
- $2.9
- Multiplier
- 1.14x
- User PnL
- $0.16
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $14.48
- Potential payout
- $16.17
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- Current value
- $16.05
- Potential payout
- $16.16
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 84%
- Current value
- $13.3
- Potential payout
- $15.84
- Potential profit
- $2.53
- Multiplier
- 1.19x
- User PnL
- -$0.48
Yes position
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 22%
- Current value
- $3.33
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $11.82
- Multiplier
- 4.55x
- User PnL
- $0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No closed positions returned for this trader.
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 6.5 shares
- Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 20% 8.65 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30?No 87% 16.02 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30?No 90.5% 16.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.2% 16.28 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.2% 5.98 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 97.3% 12.83 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?No 98.1% 27.78 shares
- Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?No 87% 15.84 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?No 99.2% 16.16 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 4.96 shares
- Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by June 30, 2026?Yes 94% 19.43 shares