Yes position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $359.94
- Potential payout
- $28.79K
- Potential profit
- $28.44K
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$294.26
Polymarket Trader
7203
0xa7496c149585af67a6b31e08bc33797459f06a65
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.22K
- Realized PnL
- $4.22K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 60.5%
- Current value
- $2.77K
- Potential payout
- $4.58K
- Potential profit
- $1.81K
- Multiplier
- 1.65x
- User PnL
- $231.27
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $8.5
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $991.5
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$0.5
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$95.9
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.34K
No position
US strikes Iran by February 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $502.97
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $426.58
Yes position
Will F1 be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $296.48
Yes position
Will Michael B. Jordan win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $211.32
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.9
Yes position
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $150.86
No position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $117.54
No position
US strikes Iran by February 5, 2026?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108.12
No position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $100.25
No position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $89.46
Yes position
Will Ethan Hawke be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $86.16
No position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $79.72
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $60.73
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59.38
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $55.72
No position
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $53.71
No position
US strikes Iran by February 3, 2026?
Ends Feb 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.7
No position
US strikes Iran by February 8, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.5
Yes position
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- $48.45
No position
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.01
No position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $43.36
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $32.68
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $29.9
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 52% 500 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 52% 192.31 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 98.5% 100 shares
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?No 56.7% 3,437.43 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 99.2% 100 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?No 87.9% 100 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?No 83% 100 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 95.9% 42.58 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 99.5% 2,130 shares
- US forces enter Iran by March 31?No 95.3% 2,130 shares
- Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?Yes 8.9% 322.97 shares
- Will Leonardo DiCaprio win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?No 96.4% 56.52 shares