0xa74EB2f8e69b26937Cc7F0Edb73A7755f76BA633-1781266172471

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.5K
Potential profit: $2.5K
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.67K
Potential profit: $1.67K
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Cristiano Ronaldo be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $6.59
Potential payout: $527.22
Potential profit: $520.63
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$3.41

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $10.65
Potential payout: $434.78
Potential profit: $424.13
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: $0.65

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 2%
Current value: $6.09
Potential payout: $312.5
Potential profit: $306.41
Multiplier: 51.28x
User PnL: -$3.91

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Exact Score: England 3 - 1 Ghana?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $217.39
Potential profit: $217.39
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $12.44
Potential payout: $216.29
Potential profit: $203.85
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$7.56

Yes position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $20.35
Potential payout: $116.28
Potential profit: $95.93
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $10.35

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $110.64
Potential profit: $110.64
User PnL: -$60

Yes position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?

Ends Oct 28, 2026

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $10.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $89.5
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: $0.5

Yes position

Will Norway win on 2026-06-26?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $96.77
Potential profit: $96.77
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.2
Potential profit: $85.2
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 20.7%
Current value: $15.07
Potential payout: $72.99
Potential profit: $57.92
Multiplier: 4.84x
User PnL: $5.07

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 11.2%
Current value: $8.02
Potential payout: $71.94
Potential profit: $63.92
Multiplier: 8.97x
User PnL: -$1.98

Yes position

Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 10.9%
Current value: $7.57
Potential payout: $69.44
Potential profit: $61.88
Multiplier: 9.17x
User PnL: -$2.43

Yes position

Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $7.81
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $54.69
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$2.19

Yes position

Will Norway vs. France end in a draw?

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $62.5
Potential profit: $62.5
User PnL: -$5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.57
Potential profit: $56.57
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 23%
Current value: $12.41
Potential payout: $54.05
Potential profit: $41.65
Multiplier: 4.36x
User PnL: $2.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET

Ends Jun 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.7
Potential profit: $48.7
User PnL: -$15

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.62
Potential profit: $47.62
User PnL: -$10

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.11

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.02

Yes position

Will Czechia vs. South Africa end in a draw?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.11

Yes position

Will Portugal vs. DR Congo end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $27.74

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $26.77

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.21

Yes position

Will Netherlands vs. Japan end in a draw?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.78

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $21.67

Yes position

Will Belgium vs. IR Iran end in a draw?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.83

Yes position

Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Austria?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.85

Yes position

Exact Score: United States 2 - 0 Australia?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.12

Yes position

Will Netherlands win on 2026-06-20?

Ends Jun 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $14.17

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $13.64

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 28, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.77

Yes position

Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?

Ends Jun 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.72

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-06-19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.47

Yes position

Will England vs. Ghana end in a draw?

Ends Jun 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.47

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-06-17?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.2

Yes position

Will Spain vs. Cabo Verde end in a draw?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.52

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.37

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET