Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $99
- Potential payout
- $6K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$15
Polymarket Trader
flightlevel510
0xa75f38f3d9899d69374a4bd172eaa8a19906433a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.04K
- Realized PnL
- $1.44K
- Win rate
- 41.7%
- Open positions
- 6
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $764.4
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $35.6
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $213.4
No position
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $179
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $21
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$22
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 15?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$7.4
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.58K
No position
Minneapolis Border Patrol shooter charged?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $412.93
No position
Will Kristi Noem be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $275.28
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $250.81
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $79.9
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50
No position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $33
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.92
No position
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.77
Yes position
Will there be no new Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Canada win the Men's Ice Hockey gold medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?
Ends Feb 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.87
No position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- -$12.63
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.5
Yes position
Starmer out by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$45.3
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$46
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 18, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$57.49
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 19, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$63.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$66
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$77.03
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$106.89
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$124
Yes position
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$270.95
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$271.92
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 200 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No 76% 127.17 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 67% 100 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 28% 1,000 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?Yes 99.8% 21 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on May 14?Yes 44% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on May 14?Yes 24% 8 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in May?No 65% 300 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 70% 500 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 29% 500 shares
- Starmer out by May 31, 2026?Yes 36% 490 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.9% 6,000 shares