Yes position
Xi Jinping out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $1.16K
- Potential payout
- $17.5K
- Potential profit
- $16.33K
- Multiplier
- 15.04x
- User PnL
- -$136.43
Polymarket Trader
Spiderman2026
0xa763c7736f8d7a73edd7d2dc5a5754de0117aab5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.29K
- Realized PnL
- $11.29
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $166.67
- Potential profit
- $159.67
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.27
- Potential payout
- $134.41
- Potential profit
- $134.14
- Multiplier
- 500.00x
- User PnL
- -$9.73
Yes position
Will 9-10 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.9%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $121.18
- Potential profit
- $112.88
- Multiplier
- 14.60x
- User PnL
- -$11.7
Yes position
Milei out as President of Argentina before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 6.7%
- Current value
- $6.73
- Potential payout
- $100.42
- Potential profit
- $93.69
- Multiplier
- 14.93x
- User PnL
- -$3.27
Yes position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 11.7%
- Current value
- $9.96
- Potential payout
- $85.46
- Potential profit
- $75.5
- Multiplier
- 8.58x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 11.6%
- Current value
- $8.57
- Potential payout
- $74.24
- Potential profit
- $65.66
- Multiplier
- 8.66x
- User PnL
- -$11.43
Yes position
Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $67.26
- Potential profit
- $67.26
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $3.79
- Potential payout
- $50.49
- Potential profit
- $46.71
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$6.21
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.8%
- Current value
- $3.73
- Potential payout
- $48.08
- Potential profit
- $44.35
- Multiplier
- 12.90x
- User PnL
- -$1.27
Yes position
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 17.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $45.45
- Potential profit
- $37.5
- Multiplier
- 5.71x
- User PnL
- -$2.05
Yes position
Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $40
- Potential profit
- $40
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will UAE replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $39.8
- Potential profit
- $39.8
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will New Zealand win Group G in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $26.32
- Potential profit
- $26.32
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Republican Party hold between 190 and 194 House seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.5%
- Current value
- $3.38
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $21.63
- Multiplier
- 7.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.63
No position
Will more than 16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 97%
- Current value
- $23.31
- Potential payout
- $24.04
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $3.31
No position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.8%
- Current value
- $15.77
- Potential payout
- $18.18
- Potential profit
- $2.41
- Multiplier
- 1.15x
- User PnL
- $0.77
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.3%
- Current value
- $0.22
- Potential payout
- $17.54
- Potential profit
- $17.32
- Multiplier
- 80.00x
- User PnL
- -$0.78
Yes position
Putin and Zelenskyy shake hands by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $13.16
- Potential profit
- $13.14
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$0.98
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Current value
- $11.64
- Potential payout
- $12.35
- Potential profit
- $0.71
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $1.64
Yes position
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.95
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
No position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 58%
- Current value
- $6.37
- Potential payout
- $10.99
- Potential profit
- $4.62
- Multiplier
- 1.72x
- User PnL
- -$3.63
No position
Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $10.71
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
Will 15-16 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Current value
- $10.32
- Potential payout
- $10.44
- Potential profit
- $0.13
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.32
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.57
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.5
Yes position
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.35
Yes position
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.23
No position
US strikes Iran by January 26, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
US strikes Iran by January 25, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
No position
Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will USA win Group D in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jun 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 25?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by January 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 27?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 28?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iran by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Russia strike on Kyiv municipality on January 26?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Xi Jinping out before 2027?Yes 7.5% 13,292.15 shares
- Will UAE replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 39.8 shares
- Will Italy replace Iran in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 40 shares
- Will Japan win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 76% 1.32 shares
- Will Netherlands win Group F in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 46% 2.17 shares
- Will South Korea win Group A in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 80% 1.25 shares
- Will Argentina win Group J in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 28% 10.71 shares
- Will Portugal win Group K in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 34% 2.94 shares
- Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 10.4% 48.08 shares
- Will Brazil win Group C in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 26% 3.85 shares
- Will Curaçao win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 1.5% 67.26 shares
- Will Germany win Group E in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?No 32% 3.13 shares