Polymarket Trader

TrueLeoman

0xa763d25bf1385840853e847d4bcfeeb121ef633b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $134.55
Realized PnL: $141.88
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Military action against Iran ends by April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0.4%
Current value: $0.32
Potential payout: $90.91
Potential profit: $90.59
Multiplier: 285.71x
User PnL: -$0.68

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Fed rate hike in 2026?

Ends Dec 9, 2026

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $23.41
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $22.05
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: $13.41

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $43.46
Potential payout: $43.87
Potential profit: $0.42
User PnL: $33.46

Yes position

Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $3.47
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $24.31
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$6.53

No position

Will Starmer say "Mr Speaker" 20+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $24.82
Potential profit: $24.82
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 58.6%
Current value: $13.94
Potential payout: $23.81
Potential profit: $9.87
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$6.06

No position

Will Trump say "Honor" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.05
User PnL: -$4

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.23
Potential profit: $19.23
User PnL: -$10

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $18.59
Potential profit: $18.59
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 2.1%
Current value: $0.35
Potential payout: $16.67
Potential profit: $16.32
Multiplier: 47.62x
User PnL: -$0.65

Yes position

Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 21.5%
Current value: $3.03
Potential payout: $14.08
Potential profit: $11.06
Multiplier: 4.65x
User PnL: -$6.97

No position

Will Trump say "Biden" or "Obama" 3+ times during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $13.08
Potential profit: $13.08
User PnL: -$5

No position

Will Google have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $12.95
Potential payout: $12.99
Potential profit: $0.03
User PnL: $2.95

No position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.8%
Current value: $12.02
Potential payout: $12.05
Potential profit: $0.02
User PnL: $2.02

No position

Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.7%
Current value: $11.66
Potential payout: $11.82
Potential profit: $0.16
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $1.66

Yes position

Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $9.94
Potential payout: $11.63
Potential profit: $1.69
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$0.06

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Government shutdown on Saturday?

Ends Feb 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $41.86

No position

Will Trump say "Most Favored Nation" during Ohio visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.83

No position

Will Trump say "President Xi" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.63

No position

Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.78

Yes position

Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Rhineland-Palatinate parliamentary elections?

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.17

Yes position

Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.24

Yes position

Will Apple release a new product line before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 37%
Multiplier: 2.70x
User PnL: $5.05

No position

Will Trump say "Toyota" during events with Japanese PM?

Ends Mar 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 99.9%
User PnL: $3.55

No position

Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during March press conference?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.86

No position

Will Trump say "Job" 25+ times during Women's History Month event?

Ends Mar 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.7

No position

Will Trump say "Eli Lilly" during Ohio visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.58

No position

Will Trump say "Drug" 15+ times during Ohio visit?

Ends Mar 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.46

No position

Will Bernie Sanders say "Zuckerberg" or "Bezos" 8+ times during the Fighting Oligarchy rally?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will Trump say "Shit" or "Ass" this week? (February 22)

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.11

No position

Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by February 28?

Ends Feb 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.06

No position

Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.94

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.72

No position

Will Trump say "Reagan" during the State of the Union address?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.67

No position

Will Trump praise Allah again by April 15?

Ends Apr 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.49

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Israel closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 6% 16.67 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by June 30?

No 18% 55.56 shares
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 84.6% 11.82 shares
Will SpaceX have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026?

Yes 86% 11.63 shares
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?

Yes 58% 17.24 shares
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 36% 27.78 shares
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

Yes 1.1% 90.91 shares
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?

No 84% 23.81 shares
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026?

Yes 71% 14.08 shares
Will Trump say "Shakespeare" during King Charles visit?

No 72.1% 6.94 shares
Will Trump say "Somali" or "Somalia" or "Somalian" during King Charles visit?

No 72% 6.94 shares
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

No 73% 13.7 shares