Yes position
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 3.2%
- Current value
- $3.15
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $96.85
- Multiplier
- 31.75x
- User PnL
- -$2.95
Polymarket Trader
asjdhi
0xa76b299d6e9cfc701b7c8bf1c768cf6915a40d75
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $47.05
- Realized PnL
- $14.13
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $9.61
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.39
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $0.51
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $8.04
- Potential payout
- $8.79
- Potential profit
- $0.75
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.04
Yes position
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 16%
- Current value
- $1.29
- Potential payout
- $8.06
- Potential profit
- $6.78
- Multiplier
- 6.27x
- User PnL
- $0.29
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.3%
- Current value
- $5.02
- Potential payout
- $5.11
- Potential profit
- $0.09
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.02
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $1.94
- Potential payout
- $5.05
- Potential profit
- $3.11
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- $0.94
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $3.08
- Potential payout
- $3.69
- Potential profit
- $0.61
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $2.84
- Potential payout
- $3.57
- Potential profit
- $0.73
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.3%
- Current value
- $2.57
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.55
- Multiplier
- 1.22x
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.8%
- Current value
- $3.02
- Potential payout
- $3.13
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- Multiplier
- 1.03x
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.5%
- Current value
- $2.04
- Potential payout
- $2.31
- Potential profit
- $0.27
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.16
- Potential payout
- $2.16
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.16
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.97
- Potential profit
- $1.97
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.4%
- Current value
- $1.13
- Potential payout
- $1.33
- Potential profit
- $0.19
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $0.13
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $1.2
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.6%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $1.2
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on December 1?
Ends Dec 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.71
No position
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.63
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
Yes position
Will Google have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.91
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.69
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.63
No position
Will UAE strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Yes position
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.56
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on November 25?
Ends Nov 25, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.53
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.44
Yes position
Will JB Pritzker win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Yes position
Will the Boston Celtics win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.41
No position
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- $0.4
Yes position
Will LeBron James win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- $0.4
No position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 98.5% 5 shares
- Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 99.1% 5 shares
- Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.1% 5 shares
- Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?No 99.2% 5 shares
- Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 94.7% 6 shares
- Will Tom Brady win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 99.1% 6 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 91% 8.79 shares
- Iran leadership change by December 31?No 84% 3.57 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 87% 2.3 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by August 31?No 96% 3.13 shares
- Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by July 31?No 97.9% 5.11 shares
- China x Philippines military clash before 2027?No 86.6% 2.31 shares