Polymarket Trader

jiayi411

0xa77a5a01d72fca4a8ab2d4ed0078fc2571db2a0b

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $40.43
Realized PnL: $1.15K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 35°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.6%
Current value: $0.11
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.89
Multiplier: 181.82x
User PnL: -$9.89

No position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on July 18?

Ends Jul 18, 2026

Implied probability: 46%
Current value: $9.2
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $10.8
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$0

No position

Will the lowest temperature in London be 16°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $10.39

No position

Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will the lowest temperature in Hong Kong be 27°C on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $19.99
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$8.99

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Denver be between 92-93°F on July 17?

Ends Jul 17, 2026

Implied probability: 48.5%
Current value: $9.7
Potential payout: $19.99
Potential profit: $10.3
Multiplier: 2.06x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will the Kulmiye Party (Peace, Unity, and Development Party) win the most seats in the next Somaliland parliamentary election?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 99.1%
Current value: $1.43
Potential payout: $1.44
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.04

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $69.49

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.67

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.43

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.85

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $53.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.52

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.51

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET

Ends Apr 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.34

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 9:15AM-9:30AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.25

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.89

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.91

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.72

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 4, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.99

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.21

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 30, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET

Ends Mar 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.44

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 1, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.33

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32.58

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 16% 93.75 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 59% 39.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET

Up 42% 39.89 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET

Up 16.7% 68.18 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET

Down 33% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET

Up 10% 125 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET

Up 50% 30.06 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET

Up 10% 150 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET

Down 34% 39.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET

Down 38% 39.47 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET

Up 41% 34.94 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET

Down 63% 36.29 shares