Yes position
Will Avatar 3 be the third highest grossing movie of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $333.33
- Potential profit
- $333.33
- User PnL
- -$1
Polymarket Trader
TheRealWaymar
0xa785a1ae3b9a67b56c8c6a9105cf5ca1f20d2e85
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $9.31
- Realized PnL
- $75.78
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 17
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $72.22
- Potential profit
- $72.19
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.46
No position
Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $62.94
- Potential profit
- $62.94
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $55.56
- Potential profit
- $55.56
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $32.18
- Potential profit
- $32.18
- User PnL
- -$10.62
Yes position
Iran Nuke in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $29.41
- Potential profit
- $29.41
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $27.78
- Potential profit
- $27.78
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will "Superman" Opening Weekend Box Office be more than $124m?
Ends Jul 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $25
- Potential profit
- $25
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 57.5%
- Current value
- $9.27
- Potential payout
- $16.13
- Potential profit
- $6.85
- Multiplier
- 1.74x
- User PnL
- -$0.73
Yes position
Will RFK end COVID-19 vaccine recommendation in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.52
- Potential profit
- $15.52
- User PnL
- -$4.5
Yes position
Will Russia capture Kupiansk by September 30?
Ends Aug 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $15.15
- Potential profit
- $15.15
- User PnL
- -$5
No position
Will the total domestic gross for Avatar: Fire and Ash be less than 400m by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.5
- Potential profit
- $12.5
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
U.S. recognizes Russian sovereignty over Crimea in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.68
- Potential profit
- $9.68
- User PnL
- -$3
No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.29
- Potential profit
- $9.29
- User PnL
- -$5.76
Yes position
US recession in 2025?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.81
- Potential profit
- $7.81
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5.19
- Potential profit
- $5.19
- User PnL
- -$4
Yes position
Will "Avatar: Fire and Ash" Second Weekend Box Office be greater than 67m?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.01
- Potential profit
- $3.01
- User PnL
- -$2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.03
Yes position
Will Russia recapture Sudzha by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.1
Yes position
Will the next Pope require 3–4 ballots?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6
Yes position
Will The Left wins 5% or more of vote in German election?
Ends Feb 23, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.33
Yes position
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.15
Yes position
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.14
Yes position
TikTok banned in the US before May 2025?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.74
No position
Will Trump issue 40 or more executive orders on Day 1?
Ends Jan 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.19
Yes position
Will Trump agree to a tariff agreement with European Union in July?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.06
Yes position
Will Andrew Cuomo run as a non-Democrat in the general election?
Ends Aug 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
Yes position
US military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.85
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before August?
Ends Jul 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.45
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
Yes position
Will the Doomsday Clock move closer to Midnight?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
No position
Will Iran declare war on Israel by Friday?
Ends Jun 20, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.04
No position
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.98
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.65
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.48
Yes position
Israel military action against Iran before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.33
No position
Israel x Hamas ceasefire before July?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.26
Yes position
Trump declassifies JFK files in first 100 days?
Ends Apr 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.13
No position
Will Trump remove tariff on Canada before May?
Ends Apr 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.07
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will United States win on 2026-06-12?Yes 95% 3 shares
- Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 66.6% 4.25 shares
- Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?No 9% 72.22 shares
- Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026?Yes 62% 16.13 shares
- Will Martin O'Donnell be the Republican nominee for NV-03?No 1.6% 62.94 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 97.4% 18.51 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 62% 9.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 74.3% 5.76 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?No 54% 18.52 shares
- US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?Yes 50% 10.28 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?No 63% 8.15 shares
- Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?Yes 33% 32.18 shares