Yes position
US strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.31K
- Potential profit
- $1.31K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0xa786B9fF28A5D8e28982e4e66de500deE5BaFe0a-1769116902705
0xa786b9ff28a5d8e28982e4e66de500dee5bafe0a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.56
- Realized PnL
- -$24.06
- Win rate
- 20%
- Open positions
- 16
- Closed positions
- 5
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 24.7%
- Current value
- $7.47
- Potential payout
- $30.3
- Potential profit
- $22.83
- Multiplier
- 4.06x
- User PnL
- $6.47
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $0.16
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $10.95
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- -$0.84
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $11.11
- Potential profit
- $11.11
- User PnL
- -$1
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $2.64
- Potential payout
- $9.95
- Potential profit
- $7.32
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $0.64
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.25
- Potential profit
- $6.25
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.1%
- Current value
- $1.09
- Potential payout
- $2.95
- Potential profit
- $1.86
- Multiplier
- 2.70x
- User PnL
- $0.09
No position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 63.5%
- Current value
- $1.84
- Potential payout
- $2.9
- Potential profit
- $1.06
- Multiplier
- 1.57x
- User PnL
- -$0.16
No position
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $0.99
- Potential payout
- $2.86
- Potential profit
- $1.87
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$0.01
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 54.5%
- Current value
- $1.05
- Potential payout
- $1.92
- Potential profit
- $0.88
- Multiplier
- 1.83x
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?
Ends Apr 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.18
- Potential payout
- $1.18
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.18
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.6%
- Current value
- $1.07
- Potential payout
- $1.09
- Potential profit
- $0.02
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.6%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1.02
- Potential payout
- $1.02
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Current value
- $0.04
- Potential payout
- $1.01
- Potential profit
- $0.97
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.96
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C or higher on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $1
- Potential payout
- $1
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $51.6
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 17?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.5%
- Multiplier
- 222.22x
- User PnL
- -$0.67
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$74.99
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?No 27% 3.7 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes 81.8% 64.32 shares
- Will Croatia win on 2026-06-23?No 35% 2.86 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 52% 1.92 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 42°C or higher on June 23?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?Yes 1.6% 64.33 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 32°C or below on June 23?No 98.9% 1.01 shares
- Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?No 69% 2.9 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 32°C on June 17?No 99.2% 1.01 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on June 17?No 99.8% 1 shares
- Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?Yes 33.9% 2.95 shares
- Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 0.3% 111.11 shares