Yes position
Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $45.39
- Potential payout
- $534
- Potential profit
- $488.61
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- $15.39
Polymarket Trader
lair34
0xa788563288299dc79c637829750942d03c0bfcaf
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $45.39
- Realized PnL
- $12.16
- Win rate
- 58.3%
- Open positions
- 3
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
76ers position
76ers vs. Pistons
Ends Nov 15, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $85.85
- Potential profit
- $85.85
- User PnL
- -$33
Anyones Legend position
LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $71.7
- Potential profit
- $71.7
- User PnL
- -$38
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?
Ends Apr 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.83
No position
Will the Denver Broncos win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.66
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.01
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.98
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.3%
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
Will Hades II win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?
Ends Dec 11, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 2?
Ends Nov 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.21
No position
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Xi Jinping out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.11
No position
Will Meta have the top AI model on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.07
No position
Will Apple be the most valuable company on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Xi Jinping be the first leader out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Trump meet with Putin by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.06
No position
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $0
No position
Will Bitcoin reach $200k in October?
Ends Nov 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after October 2025 meeting?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 99.2%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Larry Ellison be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.06
No position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.12
No position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.13
No position
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 98.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.01x
- User PnL
- -$0.18
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Z.ai have the best Chinese AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 5.6% 534 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 94.1% 65.45 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.2% 65.45 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?No 96.7% 61.01 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.7% 61.28 shares
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?Yes 97.9% 61.29 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.7% 62.56 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?No 95.9% 62.57 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.7% 61.7 shares
- Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 97.5% 61.7 shares
- Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 23, 2026?No 85% 38.84 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 79% 41.78 shares