No position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $17.35K
- Potential profit
- $17.35K
- User PnL
- -$7.44K
Polymarket Trader
YuriSparkov
0xa78bdc307abf262a45820893053ca0f3cb9fd26d
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $204.08
- Realized PnL
- $8.72K
- Win rate
- 54.2%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $7.94K
- Potential profit
- $7.94K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.68K
- Potential profit
- $6.68K
- User PnL
- -$1.5K
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $6.54K
- Potential profit
- $6.54K
- User PnL
- -$251.78
Yes position
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $38.62
- Potential payout
- $5.94K
- Potential profit
- $5.9K
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- $38.62
Yes position
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.72K
- Potential profit
- $2.72K
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.98K
- Potential profit
- $1.98K
- User PnL
- -$114.66
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.5%
- Current value
- $165.46
- Potential payout
- $769.57
- Potential profit
- $604.11
- Multiplier
- 4.65x
- User PnL
- $165.46
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.54K
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.49K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.39K
Ben Shelton position
BNP Paribas Open: Ben Shelton vs Reilly Opelka
Ends Mar 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $861.85
Alexandra Eala position
BNP Paribas Open: Dayana Yastremska vs Alexandra Eala
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $681.62
Jakub Mensik position
BNP Paribas Open: Marcos Giron vs Jakub Mensik
Ends Mar 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $604.89
Medvedev position
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Tabilo (+1.5)
Ends Mar 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $423.75
Yes position
Will Deportivo Toluca FC win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $239.61
Yes position
Will Club Santos Laguna win on 2026-03-08?
Ends Mar 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $213.84
Over position
Cobolli vs. Tiafoe: Match O/U 22.5
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.81
Medvedev position
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Baez (+1.5)
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $103.8
Novak Djokovic position
BNP Paribas Open: Novak Djokovic vs Aleksandar Kovacevic
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $102.44
Carlos Alcaraz position
BNP Paribas Open: Carlos Alcaraz vs Arthur Rinderknech
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38
Yes position
Will AC Milan vs. FC Internazionale Milano end in a draw?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$21.6
Brandon Nakashima position
BNP Paribas Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Taylor Fritz position
BNP Paribas Open: Alex Michelsen vs Taylor Fritz
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$50
Newcastle United FC position
Spread: Newcastle United FC (-1.5)
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$51.78
Yes position
Will CF América win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$81.29
Yes position
Will CF Monterrey win on 2026-03-07?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$102.98
Mexico position
First Round Pool B: USA vs. Mexico
Ends Mar 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$116.82
Yes position
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$135.91
Bruins position
Bruins vs. Flyers
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$149.1
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$185.34
Yes position
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-04?
Ends Mar 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$199.1
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?Yes 23% 769.57 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by May 31?Yes 7.3% 2,722.65 shares
- NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?Yes 3.4% 5,941.97 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?Yes 63% 7,936.51 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 25.9% 6,789.42 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 40.7% 4,908.66 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 65.6% 5,813.23 shares
- Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?No 58.2% 5,961.64 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?Yes 67.9% 5,813.24 shares
- Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?Yes 99.9% 7,479.71 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?No 65.1% 5,648.32 shares
- Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?Yes 22.5% 6,676.03 shares