0xA79444c9E02B06Aeef63500dF7D5E0c2852Baa5e-1774556074161

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 3.4%
Current value: $26.14
Potential payout: $780.3
Potential profit: $754.16
Multiplier: 29.85x
User PnL: $17.14

Yes position

Will New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $666.67
Potential profit: $666.67
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $428.57
Potential profit: $428.57
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $399
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $3.8
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $396.2
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$0.2

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.71
Potential payout: $285.71
Potential profit: $285
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$1.29

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 1.1%
Current value: $2.63
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $247.38
Multiplier: 95.24x
User PnL: -$2.38

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $181.82
Potential profit: $181.82
User PnL: -$2

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$7,000 in December?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $26.25
Potential payout: $149.97
Potential profit: $123.73
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: -$17.75

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $730 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $143.05
Potential profit: $143.05
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will Senegal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125
Potential profit: $125
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $111.19
Potential profit: $111.19
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.24
Potential profit: $88.24
User PnL: -$3

Yes position

Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.72
Potential profit: $64.72
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.11
Potential profit: $64.11
User PnL: -$29.49

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $725 Week of April 27 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $60
Potential profit: $60
User PnL: -$6

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 6.5%
Current value: $3.42
Potential payout: $52.63
Potential profit: $49.21
Multiplier: 15.38x
User PnL: -$6.58

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,900 (LOW) in June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.28
Potential profit: $51.28
User PnL: -$20

No position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 18?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.99
Potential profit: $50.99
User PnL: -$24.99

Yes position

Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $5.68
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $39.77
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$4.32

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 5.8%
Current value: $2.43
Potential payout: $42.25
Potential profit: $39.82
Multiplier: 17.39x
User PnL: -$0.57

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 6.3%
Current value: $2.16
Potential payout: $34.48
Potential profit: $32.33
Multiplier: 16.00x
User PnL: -$0.84

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,500 on the final trading day of March 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.07

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPX) close at $6,500-$6,600 in March?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.8

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.92

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $710 Week of April 13 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.51

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $740 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.26

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $670 Week of April 13 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $29.1

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $685 Week of April 13 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.84

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.4

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.98

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $705 Week of April 13 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.81

Yes position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.64

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.24

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $720 Week of April 27 2026?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.13

No position

Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.59

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.84

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.76

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 14?

Ends Apr 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.85

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-06-22?

Ends Jun 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.81

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.32

Yes position

Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,200 by end of June?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Yes position

Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?

Implied probability: 0.7%
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.9

No position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of April 13 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (HIGH) $715 Week of April 13 2026?