Yes position
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $34.49
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $65.51
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$19.51
Polymarket Trader
Rarez
@nnac10
0xa796eadee5d8303b171db50a74a229dcfea503bc
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $44.78
- Realized PnL
- $190.93
- Win rate
- 37.5%
- Open positions
- 12
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 74-75°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.9%
- Current value
- $7.45
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $42.55
- Multiplier
- 6.71x
- User PnL
- $5.95
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 8°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$6
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$11
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 7°C on May 8?
Ends May 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $34
- Potential profit
- $34
- User PnL
- -$25.16
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $33.64
- Potential profit
- $33.64
- User PnL
- -$7.74
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?
Ends May 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $20
- User PnL
- -$2.4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 70-71°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 13%
- Current value
- $2.6
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $17.4
- Multiplier
- 7.69x
- User PnL
- $1.4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 68-69°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $0.21
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $9.8
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Yes position
Will Edmundo González be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.7%
- Current value
- $0.03
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $4.97
- Multiplier
- 153.85x
- User PnL
- -$0.17
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 19°C on May 10?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $5
- User PnL
- -$0.3
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?
Ends Jan 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.67
No position
Bank of England decreases interest rates by 25 bps after March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.96
No position
Will Trump visit China by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.43
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 6?
Ends May 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4
Yes position
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $2.32
No position
Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Yes position
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, R House
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 2%
- Multiplier
- 51.28x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Election
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Trump out as President by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,250,000-1,500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + VVD + CDA + JA21?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Friedrich Merz be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.01
Yes position
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Volodymyr Zelenskyy be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will there be no coalition by October 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Trump deport 1,000,000-1,250,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.02
Yes position
Will Trump deport 750,000-1,000,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.03
Yes position
Will Russia capture Lyman by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will Trump deport 250,000-500,000 people?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.32
Yes position
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 4.2%
- Multiplier
- 23.81x
- User PnL
- -$0.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?Yes 54% 100 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 25°C on May 9?Yes 12% 20 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 8?Yes 5% 56 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?No 99.9% 50 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on May 7?No 70% 50 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 9°C on May 7?Yes 89% 35 shares
- Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 10°C on May 6?Yes 89% 40 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on April 15?Yes 4.9% 30.99 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.2% 87,590 shares
- Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?Yes 3.5% 5,000 shares
- Will Han Dong-hoon win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionYes 0.3% 5 shares
- US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?No 0.3% 4,700 shares