Yes position
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 0.9%
- Current value
- $85
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.92K
- Multiplier
- 117.65x
- User PnL
- -$5
Polymarket Trader
AncientWind
0xa7a5edd79c0332978e227c092af6dbc82f35c417
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $615.62
- Realized PnL
- $1.29K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 10
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivanka Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $105
- Potential payout
- $10K
- Potential profit
- $9.9K
- Multiplier
- 95.24x
- User PnL
- -$5
Yes position
Will Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $47.5
- Potential payout
- $5K
- Potential profit
- $4.95K
- Multiplier
- 105.26x
- User PnL
- -$2.5
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.4%
- Current value
- $68
- Potential payout
- $4.86K
- Potential profit
- $4.79K
- Multiplier
- 71.43x
- User PnL
- -$211.54
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 27%
- Current value
- $260.31
- Potential payout
- $964.13
- Potential profit
- $703.81
- Multiplier
- 3.70x
- User PnL
- -$77.08
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $799.99
- Potential profit
- $799.99
- User PnL
- -$164
Yes position
Iran leadership change by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 16.5%
- Current value
- $49.81
- Potential payout
- $301.89
- Potential profit
- $252.08
- Multiplier
- 6.06x
- User PnL
- -$66.19
Y
Yes position
Will Claude Mythos 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
Ends Jun 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $50
- User PnL
- -$10
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $12.2
- Potential profit
- $12.2
- User PnL
- -$5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $8.77
- Potential profit
- $8.77
- User PnL
- -$5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $414.87
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $152.8
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.07
Yes position
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $75
Yes position
U.S. forces seize another oil tanker by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.8
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $63.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $47.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.4
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $23.64
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.03
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET
Ends Jun 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $20.94
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $19.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.13
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.22
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $16.15
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $15.5
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $14.34
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.57
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 19, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.36
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 18, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
Ends Jun 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:30PM-2:35PM ETDown 47% 11.62 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:20PM-2:25PM ETUp 41% 12.2 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETUp 80% 125 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:30PM-1:35PM ETUp 66% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 37.7% 66.31 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 63.6% 39.33 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:25PM-1:30PM ETDown 38% 13.16 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:15PM-1:20PM ETUp 69% 100 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown 17% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETDown 42% 11.9 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 1:05PM-1:10PM ETUp 77% 129.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 29, 12:55PM-1:00PM ETUp 58% 43.1 shares