Polymarket Trader

BestRegard

0xa7b0f40205df913704c5298dd6d7b3c991bf2554

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $530.37
Realized PnL: $3.57K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9K
Potential profit: $9K
User PnL: -$229.59

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $6K
Potential profit: $6K
User PnL: -$21.59

No position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.11K
Potential profit: $2.11K
User PnL: -$12.14

No position

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $1
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $2K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$124.2

No position

Trump kiss by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 20.1%
Current value: $124.92
Potential payout: $623.02
Potential profit: $498.1
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: $68.84

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 18.8%
Current value: $116.82
Potential payout: $623.02
Potential profit: $506.2
Multiplier: 5.33x
User PnL: $17.13

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 32.2%
Current value: $159.47
Potential payout: $496.03
Potential profit: $336.56
Multiplier: 3.11x
User PnL: $90.03

Yes position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 16%
Current value: $63.29
Potential payout: $396.83
Potential profit: $333.54
Multiplier: 6.27x
User PnL: $11.71

Yes position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.83
Potential profit: $396.83
User PnL: -$35.71

Yes position

Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $396.83
Potential profit: $396.83
User PnL: -$35.71

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$3.6

No position

Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 3.1%
Current value: $6.11
Potential payout: $200.42
Potential profit: $194.31
Multiplier: 32.79x
User PnL: -$12.08

Yes position

Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$1.05

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 20%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $130.34
Potential profit: $104.34
Multiplier: 5.01x
User PnL: -$5.92

Yes position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $1.71
Potential payout: $118.27
Potential profit: $116.55
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$1.28

Yes position

Will Sébastien Lecornu win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $0.75
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $99.25
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$2.25

Yes position

Will François Ruffin win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $0.65
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $99.34
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$0.35

Yes position

Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?

Ends Apr 30, 2027

Implied probability: 5.4%
Current value: $3.74
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $66.25
Multiplier: 18.69x
User PnL: -$16.55

Yes position

Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $4.88
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $20.13
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$0.38

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $19.37
Potential payout: $24.99
Potential profit: $5.62
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $1.37

Yes position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $1.66
Potential payout: $22.22
Potential profit: $20.57
Multiplier: 13.42x
User PnL: -$0.34

No position

Will Trump and Putin not meet?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.9

Yes position

Will the Houston Rockets win the 2026 NBA Finals?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $20
User PnL: -$1.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 11?

Ends Feb 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $533.05

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $432.93

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $351.82

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 26?

Ends Feb 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $297.5

Up position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 13?

Ends Feb 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $247.3

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 24?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $214.57

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $184.5

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 19?

Ends Feb 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.39

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 12?

Ends Feb 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $151.48

Yes position

Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $115.8

No position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $113.84

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on February 10?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.9

No position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $95.01

Yes position

Will Donald Trump announce a new nominee for Chair of the Federal Reserve by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $76.2

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 16?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.8

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 9, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Ends Mar 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.26

No position

Will the government shutdown last 1 day or more?

Ends Mar 14, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.99

Down position

S&P 500 (SPX) Opens Up or Down on February 9?

Ends Feb 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.26

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 9 to January 16, 2026?

Ends Jan 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.38

Up position

Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 17?

Ends Feb 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.25

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET

Ends Mar 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.52

Up position

Dow Jones (DJI) Up or Down on February 18?

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $35.15

No position

Will Opinion launch a token by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.1

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.2% 1,350 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 0.2% 500 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

No 5.4% 5.28 shares
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to no prison time?

No 5.3% 10.41 shares
Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?

No 81% 150 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Spread: Croatia (-2.5) AND Portugal vs. Croatia: O/U 1.5 AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Spain vs. Austria: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Switzerland (-3.5) AND Spread: Austria (-1.5) AND Switzerland to score first vs. Algeria?

44.2% 11.1 shares
Spain vs. Austria: Team to Advance AND Australia vs. Egypt: O/U 0.5 AND United States vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: Both Teams to Score AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: Team to Advance AND Belgium vs. Senegal: Team to Advance AND France vs. Sweden: Team to Advance AND Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 1.5 AND England vs. DR Congo: Team to Advance AND Portugal vs. Croatia: Team to Advance AND Côte d'Ivoire vs. Norway: Team to Advance AND Switzerland vs. Algeria: O/U 0.5

5.5% 52.49 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Both Teams to Score

No 68% 5 shares
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advance

Argentina 93% 5 shares
Belgium vs. Senegal: O/U 0.5 AND Spain vs. Austria: O/U 0.5 AND England vs. DR Congo: O/U 0.5 AND Mexico vs. Ecuador: O/U 0.5

67.9% 51.05 shares
Netherlands vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5 AND Spread: Norway (-1.5) AND Brazil vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Germany vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5 AND Will Canada win on 2026-06-28? AND Will Paraguay win on 2026-06-29? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-29?

6.2% 156.37 shares
Spread: Vålerenga Fotball (-2.5)

Kristiansund BK 84% 1.19 shares