Polymarket Trader

TaxIsTheft

0xa7b5bf2089e3de036ae68425461407343466fa78

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $26.57K
Realized PnL: $20.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.14K
Potential payout: $190.41K
Potential profit: $187.27K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$548.37

Yes position

Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $1.53K
Potential payout: $180.05K
Potential profit: $178.52K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$1.48K

Yes position

Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 5%
Current value: $5.43K
Potential payout: $109.65K
Potential profit: $104.22K
Multiplier: 20.20x
User PnL: $1.16K

Yes position

Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $867.78
Potential payout: $91.35K
Potential profit: $90.48K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$108.61

Yes position

Will Gina Raimondo win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $599.25
Potential payout: $79.9K
Potential profit: $79.3K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$43.39

Yes position

Will Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $350.75
Potential payout: $46.77K
Potential profit: $46.42K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$430.86

Yes position

Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $982.9
Potential payout: $40.95K
Potential profit: $39.97K
Multiplier: 41.67x
User PnL: $318.58

Yes position

Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 4.3%
Current value: $1.42K
Potential payout: $32.8K
Potential profit: $31.38K
Multiplier: 23.04x
User PnL: $188.74

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 24.3%
Current value: $7.4K
Potential payout: $30.5K
Potential profit: $23.1K
Multiplier: 4.12x
User PnL: -$25.65

Yes position

Will Nikki Haley win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.9%
Current value: $254.99
Potential payout: $30K
Potential profit: $29.74K
Multiplier: 117.65x
User PnL: -$94.98

Yes position

Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $218.23
Potential payout: $29.1K
Potential profit: $28.88K
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$13.15

Yes position

Will Roy Cooper win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $274.58
Potential payout: $28.9K
Potential profit: $28.63K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$6.94

Yes position

Will Vivek Ramaswamy win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $328.12
Potential payout: $26.25K
Potential profit: $25.92K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$71.69

Yes position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.5%
Current value: $612.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.39K
Multiplier: 40.82x
User PnL: -$10.15

Yes position

Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1%
Current value: $237.5
Potential payout: $25K
Potential profit: $24.76K
Multiplier: 105.26x
User PnL: -$162.5

Yes position

Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.3%
Current value: $300
Potential payout: $24K
Potential profit: $23.7K
Multiplier: 80.00x
User PnL: -$46.87

Yes position

Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 1.5%
Current value: $311.75
Potential payout: $21.5K
Potential profit: $21.19K
Multiplier: 68.97x
User PnL: -$146.2

Yes position

Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $37.5
Potential payout: $15K
Potential profit: $14.96K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$12.45

Yes position

Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $231
Potential payout: $14K
Potential profit: $13.77K
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$36.99

Yes position

Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $343.94
Potential payout: $12.07K
Potential profit: $11.72K
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$4.62

Yes position

Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.4%
Current value: $135
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.87K
Multiplier: 74.07x
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $225
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.77K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $115

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 7.1%
Current value: $627.64
Potential payout: $8.79K
Potential profit: $8.16K
Multiplier: 14.01x
User PnL: -$20.88

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 11.8%
Current value: $716.75
Potential payout: $6.1K
Potential profit: $5.38K
Multiplier: 8.51x
User PnL: $178.36

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $4.54K

Yes position

Will Venezuela win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.74K

Yes position

Will Finland win the Men's Ice Hockey bronze medal at the 2026 Winter Olympics?

Ends Feb 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.37K

No position

Will the State of the Union be 130 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.97K

No position

Will the State of the Union be 120 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.77K

Yes position

Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $819

Yes position

Will the Carolina Hurricanes win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $783

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $752.44

Yes position

Will Michigan win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $607.01

Yes position

Odds of Khamenei being out as Supreme Leader by March 31 over 30% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $559.98

No position

Will a candidate win outright in the Texas GOP Senate Primary?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $481.98

Yes position

Will Connecticut win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $370.51

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $358

Slovakia position

Men's Quarterfinals - Slovakia vs. Germany

Ends Feb 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $352.17

No position

Will gas hit (High) $5.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $331.66

No position

Will any candidate win the Texas Republican Senate Primary outright?

Ends Mar 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.8

No position

Will the State of the Union be 110 minutes or longer?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $186.4

No position

NCAA Tournament: Double-digit seed to make Quarterfinals?

Ends Mar 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $180.8

Yes position

Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $168.61

Yes position

US forces enter Iran by April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $158.6

Yes position

Will Italy win the 2026 World Baseball Classic?

Ends Mar 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $118.43

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.55

No position

Will John Cornyn win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96

No position

Will Trump and Xi handshake last 15 seconds or longer during the day of their next meeting in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Czechia win on 2026-06-18?

Yes 53% 200 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 1 DR Congo?

Yes 17% 99.99 shares
Exact Score: Portugal 3 - 0 DR Congo?

Yes 18% 100 shares
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?

Yes 90% 100 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 1 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 14% 100 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 3 - 1 Algeria?

Yes 6% 100 shares
Will Argentina win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 64% 100 shares
Exact Score: Argentina 2 - 0 Algeria?

Yes 15% 5 shares
Will France win on 2026-06-16?

No 52% 200 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 94% 10.64 shares
Will Qatar vs. Switzerland end in a draw?

Yes 93.9% 10.65 shares
Will Switzerland win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 1.1% 500 shares