Polymarket Trader

lele1125

0xa7bfe5736257a3a42a6e229552a62882fe19e441

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $5.25K
Realized PnL: $8.34K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 13
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.33K
Potential profit: $19.33K
User PnL: -$194.75

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $9.74K
Potential profit: $9.74K
User PnL: -$617.92

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.5%
Current value: $2.61K
Potential payout: $2.74K
Potential profit: $123.19
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $1.38K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $67,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $1.03K
Potential payout: $1.36K
Potential profit: $333.58
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: $427.96

No position

Will Trump meet with Xi Jinping by October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.25K
Potential profit: $1.25K
User PnL: -$52.41

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.12K
Potential payout: $1.22K
Potential profit: $91.13
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $177.02

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $499.98
Potential profit: $499.98
User PnL: -$69.5

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 96.8%
Current value: $481.27
Potential payout: $497.18
Potential profit: $15.91
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $64.27

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$237

Yes position

Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $230.77
Potential profit: $230.77
User PnL: -$197.64

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $78,000 on May 2?

Ends May 2, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $147.22
Potential profit: $147.22
User PnL: -$66.25

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 14?

Ends May 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$70

Down position

Ethereum Up or Down - November 10, 2AM ET

Ends Nov 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $25
Potential profit: $25
User PnL: -$5.85

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.79K

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.08K

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.06K

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 24?

Ends May 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $844.28

Yes position

US and Iran sign an agreement by June 15, 2026?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $463.64

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?

Ends Apr 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $369.64

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $362.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $342.93

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $264.28

No position

Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $187.03

No position

Iran closes its airspace by May 21?

Ends May 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $176.09

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.02

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $127.34

No position

Will Trump say "Tough Negotiator" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.92

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?

Ends May 11, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $122.55

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.54

No position

Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $110.39

No position

Will Trump say "Forbidden City" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.51

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 24, 2026?

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $103.09

Yes position

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $100.94

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 7?

Ends May 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.34

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.59

No position

Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.32

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $64

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 99.9% 1,102.04 shares
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?

Yes 90.7% 1,102.04 shares
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in June?

No 95.8% 1,099.01 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 99.8% 64.05 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 37% 54.05 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 54.8% 729.72 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 89% 991.44 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 45% 577.78 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?

No 57% 175.44 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 57.7% 346.73 shares
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?

No 76.9% 650.18 shares