Polymarket Trader

bigtoetiger

0xa7c1f914724f1c37a1e723ce5c9ac295ec8e0193

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.44K
Realized PnL: $44.28K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Netanyahu out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.82K
User PnL: -$318

Yes position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 3.5%
Current value: $64.36
Potential payout: $1.82K
Potential profit: $1.75K
Multiplier: 28.25x
User PnL: -$135.63

No position

Trump out as President before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $1.11K
Potential payout: $1.2K
Potential profit: $90.37
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $114.62

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 5.5%
Current value: $64.51
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.11K
Multiplier: 18.18x
User PnL: -$185.49

No position

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $746.53
Potential profit: $746.53
User PnL: -$280

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 25.9%
Current value: $77.74
Potential payout: $300.75
Potential profit: $223.01
Multiplier: 3.87x
User PnL: $37.74

Yes position

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $13.09
Potential payout: $218.19
Potential profit: $205.1
Multiplier: 16.67x
User PnL: -$21.42

Yes position

Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 40.8%
Current value: $75.63
Potential payout: $185.19
Potential profit: $109.56
Multiplier: 2.45x
User PnL: -$24.37

Yes position

US strike on Mexico by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 13.5%
Current value: $11.57
Potential payout: $85.71
Potential profit: $74.14
Multiplier: 7.41x
User PnL: -$18.43

Yes position

Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 54.5%
Current value: $17.17
Potential payout: $31.51
Potential profit: $14.34
Multiplier: 1.83x
User PnL: -$5.83

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 15, 2026?

Ends Jan 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.11K

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.23K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.04K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Saturday?

Ends Jun 21, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.61K

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.45K

Yes position

US military action against Iran by Sunday?

Ends Jun 22, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.19K

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.01K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $657.16

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $634.26

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $583.59

Yes position

Israel military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $487.7

Yes position

Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $439.04

Yes position

US x Venezuela military engagement by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $419.33

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 3, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $405.45

Yes position

Maduro out by January 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $400

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran before March 2026 (ET)?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.4

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 4, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $386.57

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 5, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $355

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET

Ends Mar 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $329.18

Yes position

US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $299.6

Yes position

US military action against Iran before July?

Ends Jun 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $274.09

Yes position

Will the US next strike Iran during the week of February 22-28, 2026 (ET)?

Ends Apr 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $267.82

Yes position

US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $156.41

Yes position

Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $148.2

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 21.5% 232.81 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 18.2% 164.54 shares
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?

No 57.3% 349.19 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 99.9% 178.57 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 99.6% 1,111.11 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?

Yes 65% 153.85 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?

Yes 56% 178.57 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?

Yes 39% 256.41 shares
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?

Yes 9% 1,111.11 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 55% 176.25 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Up 55% 176.27 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET

Down 37% 262.93 shares