0x998b15b43cdfa68

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $277.7
Potential profit: $277.7
User PnL: -$57.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $244.03
Potential profit: $244.03
User PnL: -$57.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $232.3
Potential profit: $232.3
User PnL: -$38.35

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $218.6
Potential profit: $218.6
User PnL: -$29.5

No position

GPT-5.6 released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 24.5%
Current value: $49
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $151
Multiplier: 4.08x
User PnL: $13

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $141.42
Potential profit: $141.42
User PnL: -$21.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $125.82
Potential profit: $125.82
User PnL: -$16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $119.39
Potential profit: $119.39
User PnL: -$43.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.97
Potential profit: $115.97
User PnL: -$16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $115.36
Potential profit: $115.36
User PnL: -$35.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112.18
Potential profit: $112.18
User PnL: -$23.6

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $112
Potential profit: $112
User PnL: -$29.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $107.71
Potential profit: $107.71
User PnL: -$13.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100.13
Potential profit: $100.13
User PnL: -$16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $98.7
Potential profit: $98.7
User PnL: -$32.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $97.53
Potential profit: $97.53
User PnL: -$18.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.77
Potential profit: $91.77
User PnL: -$24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $91.3
Potential profit: $91.3
User PnL: -$12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $88.03
Potential profit: $88.03
User PnL: -$32.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $86.37
Potential profit: $86.37
User PnL: -$24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85.39
Potential profit: $85.39
User PnL: -$14.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.74
Potential profit: $81.74
User PnL: -$28.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $81.59
Potential profit: $81.59
User PnL: -$14.75

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $79.42
Potential profit: $79.42
User PnL: -$16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $76.54
Potential profit: $76.54
User PnL: -$29.5

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.82
Potential profit: $75.82
User PnL: -$32.45

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $75.77
Potential profit: $75.77
User PnL: -$20.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.56
Potential profit: $71.56
User PnL: -$32.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.68
Potential profit: $70.68
User PnL: -$32.45

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $70.07
Potential profit: $70.07
User PnL: -$21.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $68.09
Potential profit: $68.09
User PnL: -$12

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $66.8
Potential profit: $66.8
User PnL: -$26.55

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $64.54
Potential profit: $64.54
User PnL: -$20.65

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $63.06
Potential profit: $63.06
User PnL: -$16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $61.34
Potential profit: $61.34
User PnL: -$26.4

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $59.64
Potential profit: $59.64
User PnL: -$26.55

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $57.44
Potential profit: $57.44
User PnL: -$14.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $56.22
Potential profit: $56.22
User PnL: -$16.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $54.6
Potential profit: $54.6
User PnL: -$23.6

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $53.26
Potential profit: $53.26
User PnL: -$16.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.66
Potential profit: $51.66
User PnL: -$5.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.58
Potential profit: $51.58
User PnL: -$6.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.24
Potential profit: $51.24
User PnL: -$16.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $51.22
Potential profit: $51.22
User PnL: -$16.1

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $50.9
Potential profit: $50.9
User PnL: -$16.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.33
Potential profit: $48.33
User PnL: -$9.2

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.24
Potential profit: $48.24
User PnL: -$14.4

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.14
Potential profit: $48.14
User PnL: -$14.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $47.72
Potential profit: $47.72
User PnL: -$14.4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 22?

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $920.42

Yes position

Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205.06

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $135.98

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $134.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $108.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $105.18

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.23

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.11

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $96.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $94.72

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 5?

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $93.03

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $87.64

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82.97

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 6?

Ends Apr 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.09

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $70.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $66.05

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $63.78

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $62.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on April 13?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $57.86

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.61

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on March 26?

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $55.79

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54.83

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.72

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.97

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.43

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winner

Ends Nov 2, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $47.56

No position

Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.48

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.22

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.01

T1 position

LoL: Anyone's Legend vs T1 (BO5)

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.3

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $45.24

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $44.1

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $43.28

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.11

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $39.54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 11?

Ends Apr 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $39.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $38.65

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.84

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.8

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.23

Yes position

Will Alibaba have the second best AI model on October 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.24

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.85

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.01

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on April 2?

Ends Apr 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31.29

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $31

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET