Yes position
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $601
- Potential profit
- $601
- User PnL
- -$179.51
Polymarket Trader
sunshines
0xa7eede142fda15cb6258f238c449796873e5421b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.24K
- Realized PnL
- $13.76K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $530.61
- Potential profit
- $530.61
- User PnL
- -$271.61
Yes position
Will Nikola Jokic lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $401.59
- Potential payout
- $401.59
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $139
Yes position
Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $379
- Potential profit
- $379
- User PnL
- -$128.72
No position
Will PLC win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $370
- Potential payout
- $370
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $40.7
Yes position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $359.04
- Potential payout
- $359.04
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $54.26
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $334.88
- Potential payout
- $334.88
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $154.69
No position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 98.2%
- Current value
- $304.41
- Potential payout
- $309.99
- Potential profit
- $5.58
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $69.72
No position
Will Purdue win the 2026 NCAA Tournament?
Ends Apr 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $300
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will 'Lilo & Stitch' have the third best domestic opening weekend in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $292.08
- Potential profit
- $292.08
- User PnL
- -$161.72
Yes position
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $291.03
- Potential profit
- $291.03
- User PnL
- -$161.4
Yes position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 34.5%
- Current value
- $95.04
- Potential payout
- $275.57
- Potential profit
- $180.52
- Multiplier
- 2.90x
- User PnL
- -$25.03
Yes position
Will the UK designate the IRGC a terrorist organization by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.3%
- Current value
- $37.68
- Potential payout
- $263.65
- Potential profit
- $225.97
- Multiplier
- 7.00x
- User PnL
- -$161.51
No position
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder finish with the best record in the NBA?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $259.03
- Potential profit
- $259.03
- User PnL
- -$35.67
No position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $249
- Potential profit
- $249
- User PnL
- -$154.1
No position
No one announced as next James Bond?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.1%
- Current value
- $7.32
- Potential payout
- $240.11
- Potential profit
- $232.79
- Multiplier
- 32.79x
- User PnL
- -$124.33
No position
Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $222.22
- Potential payout
- $222.22
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.2
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax on California ballot?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $218.09
- Potential profit
- $218.09
- User PnL
- -$83.32
Yes position
Will Harvey Weinstein be sentenced to between 20 and 30 years in prison?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 1.8%
- Current value
- $3.78
- Potential payout
- $210
- Potential profit
- $206.22
- Multiplier
- 55.56x
- User PnL
- -$136.19
No position
Will Cade Cunningham lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $204.31
- Potential payout
- $204.31
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $51.03
No position
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $201
- User PnL
- -$110.71
Yes position
Will Ausar Thompson lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $201
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $136.52
No position
Will CR win the most seats in the 2026 Colombian Senate election?
Ends Mar 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $201
- Potential payout
- $201
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $4.42
No position
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by March 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $200
- Potential payout
- $200
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $12.38K
No position
Will It Was Just an Accident be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $131.93
Yes position
Will Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $129.89
No position
Will Robin D. Cook (Frankenstein) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $126.7
Yes position
Will Olivia Dean win Best New Artist at the 68th Annual GRAMMY Awards?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $114.01
Yes position
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q4 2025
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $108
No position
Will AOI win the Defi App trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $92.87
Yes position
Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $78.29
Yes position
Will Nina Gold (Hamnet) be nominated for Achievement in Casting at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $76.89
Yes position
Trump and Marjorie Taylor Greene publicly reconcile by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $67.66
Yes position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $59
No position
Will The Testament of Ann Lee be nominated for Best Picture at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44
No position
Ranger FDV above $20M one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $39
No position
Will Franco Parisi endorse José Antonio Kast for President of Chile?
Ends Dec 14, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.03
Yes position
Will Josh Safdie be nominated for Best Director at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.76
No position
Negative GDP growth in Q4 2025?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.6
No position
Aztec FDV above $1B one day after launch?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31
No position
Will there be exactly 4 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.7
Yes position
Will Inga Ibsdotter Lilleaas be nominated for Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25
No position
Will Joel Edgerton be nominated for Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
Ends Jan 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.9
Yes position
"The Witcher: Season 4" Rotten Tomatoes score is between 45 and 59?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.56
No position
Will Comcast acquire Warner Bros. Discovery?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24.4
No position
Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $108 end of November?
Ends Nov 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $24
Yes position
Will Bally’s Corporation receive a license for Bally’s New York casino in The Bronx?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes 38.1% 1,095.22 shares
- Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?Yes 38.1% 603.03 shares
- Will LaMelo Ball lead the NBA in assists during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes 0.8% 30 shares
- Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2025–2026 NBA Pacific Division?Yes 22.7% 135 shares
- Will Ari Weinstein leave OpenAI by December 31, 2026?Yes 11.4% 24.5 shares
- OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?Yes 12.6% 180 shares
- Will Rudy Gobert lead the NBA in rebounds during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes 3% 25 shares
- Will Toumani Camara lead the NBA in steals during the 2025–26 NBA season?Yes 6.4% 40 shares
- Paradex FDV above $3B one day after launch?Yes 7.7% 100 shares
- Will John Fetterman leave the Democratic Party in 2025?No 99.4% 25.38 shares
- Will Giannis Antetokounmpo lead the NBA in points during the 2025–26 NBA season?No 98.9% 100 shares
- Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $106 end of November?Yes 41% 100 shares