Yes position
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $838.08
- Potential payout
- $39.16K
- Potential profit
- $38.32K
- Multiplier
- 46.73x
- User PnL
- -$50.83
Polymarket Trader
0xA7F0c900c3E9db1B6bfA9A7f7B7C091EE85Af032-1763478383244
0xa7f0c900c3e9db1b6bfa9a7f7b7c091ee85af032
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.67K
- Realized PnL
- $952.57
- Win rate
- 95.8%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
Ends Oct 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 7.5%
- Current value
- $75
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $925
- Multiplier
- 13.33x
- User PnL
- -$15
No position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.8%
- Current value
- $750.01
- Potential payout
- $800.01
- Potential profit
- $50
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- -$0.4
Yes position
Will Asia (AFC) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Current value
- $9.2
- Potential payout
- $448.57
- Potential profit
- $439.37
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- -$2.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $100
- Potential profit
- $100
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $767.79
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.25
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $38.45
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.71
No position
Will Qatar win on 2026-06-13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.7
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.74
No position
Iran closes its airspace by May 27?
Ends May 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.02
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.67
No position
China x Japan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 92.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.08x
- User PnL
- $6.36
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.11
No position
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 49.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.02x
- User PnL
- $5.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.77
Yes position
Nothing Ever Happens: November
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.38
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.7%
- Multiplier
- 7.33x
- User PnL
- $3.22
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.16
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 15, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.96
Sweden position
Spread: Sweden (-2.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.88
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.84
Sweden position
Spread: Sweden (-1.5)
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.73
No position
China x Japan sever diplomatic relations in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.61
Qatar position
Spread: Switzerland (-1.5)
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.26
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on November 30?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.12
No position
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 26%
- Multiplier
- 3.85x
- User PnL
- $0.08
No position
Will Tunisia win on 2026-06-14?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?No 93.8% 800 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.5% 8,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.3% 115 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 4,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 4,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 4,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 5,000 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 139.97 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.4% 100 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 315.68 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.6% 414.15 shares
- Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.1% 1,509.49 shares