Yes position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10.2K
- Potential profit
- $10.2K
- User PnL
- -$17.8
Polymarket Trader
Faston
0xa7fea388f955a9517067111030eb771c6d911f3e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $0.53
- Realized PnL
- $5.81K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 22, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.23K
- Potential profit
- $2.23K
- User PnL
- -$35.14
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on May 7?
Ends May 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$22
No position
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.11K
- Potential profit
- $2.11K
- User PnL
- -$134.35
No position
Will Bryan Johnson have sex again this month?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- User PnL
- -$7
Yes position
US x Iran meeting by April 10, 2026?
Ends Apr 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.73K
- Potential profit
- $1.73K
- User PnL
- -$40
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.71K
- Potential profit
- $1.71K
- User PnL
- -$1.71
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.66K
- Potential profit
- $1.66K
- User PnL
- -$14.36
No position
Will Rue Bennett die in Euphoria: Season 3?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.59K
- Potential profit
- $1.59K
- User PnL
- -$22.96
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 29, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.48K
- Potential profit
- $1.48K
- User PnL
- -$7.89
No position
Will Trump speak to Elon Musk in May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.4K
- Potential profit
- $1.4K
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Was the Fox News guest wearing a mask?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.32K
- Potential profit
- $1.32K
- User PnL
- -$17.4
No position
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$12.97
Yes position
Military action against Iran ends on April 27, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.25K
- Potential profit
- $1.25K
- User PnL
- -$8.72
No position
Trump kiss by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.09K
- Potential profit
- $1.09K
- User PnL
- -$51.2
No position
Will Zendaya and Tom Holland get married by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.53
- Potential payout
- $1.06K
- Potential profit
- $1.06K
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$5.98
No position
Will Trump praise Elon Musk by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.04K
- Potential profit
- $1.04K
- User PnL
- -$3.37
Yes position
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
Ends Mar 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will another country conduct military action against Iran by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$18.97
No position
Will Trump post "DOJ" on Truth Social this week?
Ends May 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $964.34
- Potential profit
- $964.34
- User PnL
- -$0.96
Yes position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$16.8
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$1.6
Yes position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 15th?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$27.2
Yes position
Will HotSchedules be #1 Paid App in the US Apple App Store on April 3?
Ends Apr 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$3.2
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will 35-39 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between March 10-16?
Ends Mar 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $551.32
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $488.31
No position
Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379
No position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $329.64
No position
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $305.71
No position
Will the number of US flights delayed on March 30 be less than 5,000?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $280.97
Yes position
Will White House post 200+ posts from March 31 to April 7, 2026?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $271.9
Yes position
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $259.33
No position
Israel x Hezbollah ceasefire by April 15, 2026?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $245.1
Yes position
Will Trump post "POTUS" this week on Truth Social?
Ends Apr 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $220.23
No position
Will Trump say "Third term" in March?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $215.95
Yes position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $196.66
Y
Yes position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 8?
Ends Jun 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $191.82
No position
Will Elon Musk post 120-129 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.4
Yes position
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" this week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $183.25
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?
Ends Mar 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $177.82
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $176.23
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $175.79
No position
Will Elon Musk post 110-119 tweets from January 5 to January 7, 2026?
Ends Jan 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.68
No position
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1480?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $162.09
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $161.99
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $160.85
Yes position
Will Trump announce that the US x Iran ceasefire has been broken by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $156.19
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140+ tweets from January 1 to January 3, 2026?
Ends Jan 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $152.84
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 70.1% 50 shares
- Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Switzerland?Yes 71.3% 50 shares
- Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?Yes 77.1% 72 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 22, 2026?Yes 9% 100 shares
- US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 18, 2026?Yes 19% 15 shares
- Will Israel and Lebanon hold a diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?Yes 80% 38.75 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 39.1% 50 shares
- Will anyone say "Power" during House of the Dragon E1 S3?Yes 51% 5 shares
- Will anyone say "Surrender" during House of the Dragon E1 S3?Yes 52% 1.15 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 55% 20 shares
- Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 16?Yes 8% 200 shares
- Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?Yes 2.7% 300 shares