0xA801412260D2406cd0300E343d708fE35aFe7310-1783218832132

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $19.67K
Potential profit: $19.67K
User PnL: -$8K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $16.22K
Potential profit: $16.22K
User PnL: -$8K

England position

Spread: Mexico (-1.5)

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $425.06
Potential payout: $491.4
Potential profit: $66.34
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$7.37

Yes position

Will United States win on 2026-07-06?

Implied probability: 35.5%
Current value: $142
Potential payout: $400
Potential profit: $258
Multiplier: 2.82x
User PnL: -$2

No position

Will Mexico win on 2026-07-05?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $267.01
Potential payout: $389.79
Potential profit: $122.78
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$2.35

No position

Will Belgium win on 2026-07-06?

Implied probability: 63.5%
Current value: $174.94
Potential payout: $275.5
Potential profit: $100.56
Multiplier: 1.57x
User PnL: -$1.38

No position

Will Erling Haaland be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 88.2%
Current value: $209.01
Potential payout: $237.11
Potential profit: $28.1
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $0.54

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $61.96
Potential payout: $225.3
Potential profit: $163.34
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: $1.13

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 81.7%
Current value: $90.22
Potential payout: $110.5
Potential profit: $20.28
Multiplier: 1.22x
User PnL: $0.1

No position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $51.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $48.5
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$0.5

Yes position

England leading at halftime?

Implied probability: 19.5%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $80.5
Multiplier: 5.13x
User PnL: -$7.5

Yes position

Will England win on 2026-07-05?

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $33.73
Potential payout: $97.8
Potential profit: $64.07
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$4.07

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $77.74
Potential payout: $92
Potential profit: $14.26
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$0.46

No position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 65.3%
Current value: $52.2
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $27.8
Multiplier: 1.53x
User PnL: -$0.6

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 12.7%
Current value: $10.12
Potential payout: $80
Potential profit: $69.88
Multiplier: 7.91x
User PnL: -$0.04

Belgium position

Spread: United States (-2.5)

Implied probability: 93.5%
Current value: $74.15
Potential payout: $79.3
Potential profit: $5.15
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.4

No position

Will United States vs. Belgium end in a draw?

Implied probability: 71.5%
Current value: $53.48
Potential payout: $74.8
Potential profit: $21.32
Multiplier: 1.40x
User PnL: -$0.37

Aryna Sabalenka position

Wimbledon WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osaka

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $73.8
Potential profit: $73.8
User PnL: -$26.57

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 1 England?

Implied probability: 85%
Current value: $62.39
Potential payout: $73.4
Potential profit: $11.01
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.2

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 1 - 0 England?

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $62.83
Potential payout: $71.8
Potential profit: $8.97
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$1.8

Mexico position

Spread: England (-1.5)

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $61.25
Potential payout: $70
Potential profit: $8.75
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.45

No position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 66.6%
Current value: $43.65
Potential payout: $65.59
Potential profit: $21.94
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.49

No position

Exact Score: Mexico 0 - 0 England?

Implied probability: 84.5%
Current value: $55.18
Potential payout: $65.3
Potential profit: $10.12
Multiplier: 1.18x
User PnL: -$2.94

United States position

Spread: Belgium (-1.5)

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $53.54
Potential payout: $64.9
Potential profit: $11.36
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$0.32

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.76K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.28K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.03K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.73K

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.54K

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $496.61

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $68.86

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $28.21

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 0 - 0 Norway?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.9

No position

Will Brazil vs. Norway end in a draw?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $15.18

No position

Exact Score: Brazil 1 - 0 Norway?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $12.95

Felix Auger-Aliassime position

Wimbledon ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Davidovich Fokina

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55

No position

Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10%
Multiplier: 10.00x
User PnL: $1.64

No position

Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.22

England position

Spread: Mexico (-2.5)

Implied probability: 96%
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.16

No position

Will Donald Trump win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?

Ends Oct 10, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $0

No position

Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 90.5%
Multiplier: 1.11x
User PnL: -$0.04

No position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 88%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.05

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 92.9%
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 20.1%
Multiplier: 4.99x
User PnL: -$0.14

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability: 20.2%
Multiplier: 4.96x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Implied probability: 87.7%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 87.4%
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.14

No position

Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?