Polymarket Trader

Rokn

0xa81b77d11ce6cf840929ff1a1ffeeba151a858ca

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $431.8
Realized PnL: $502.03
Win rate: 91.7%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $431.8
Potential payout: $493.49
Potential profit: $61.69
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $287.59
Potential profit: $287.59
User PnL: -$40

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $156.12
Potential profit: $156.12
User PnL: -$19.2

No position

Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $104.17
Potential profit: $104.17
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET

Ends May 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $83.33
Potential profit: $83.33
User PnL: -$50

Yes position

Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $30
User PnL: -$15

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.99
Potential profit: $4.99
User PnL: -$4

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $266.83

Yes position

Will Bulgaria win Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.7

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $36.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 920-959 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $25.51

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of May 2026?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $23.45

Yes position

Will Bulgaria be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $21.01

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 1000-1039 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $12

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $10.51

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.95

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET

Ends Apr 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.47

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.33

Yes position

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.27

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.18

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.02

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.71

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.36

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.28

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.69

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.41

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $0.33

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:05AM-5:10AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.26

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 3, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.19

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET

Ends May 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$0.76

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?

Yes 91.5% 430 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 95% 417.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 93% 417.2 shares
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?

No 85% 400 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Yes 16% 561.96 shares
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.8T?

Yes 17.8% 561.96 shares
Will Elon Musk post 800-839 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 14.5% 464.2 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 73.8% 449.49 shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 6.1% 396.91 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET

Down 49% 20.41 shares
Will Elon Musk post 880-919 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 16.4% 396.91 shares
Will Elon Musk post 840-879 tweets in May 2026?

Yes 14.5% 449.49 shares