Snow-White

Implied probability: 7.3%
Current value: $1.45K
Potential payout: $20K
Potential profit: $18.55K
Multiplier: 13.79x
User PnL: -$604.1

Yes position

Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 11%
Current value: $2.07K
Potential payout: $18.78K
Potential profit: $16.71K
Multiplier: 9.09x
User PnL: -$3.8K

Spurs position

Knicks vs. Spurs

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $17.99K
Potential profit: $17.99K
User PnL: -$14.32K

Yes position

Netanyahu out by end of 2026?

Implied probability: 63%
Current value: $10.81K
Potential payout: $17.16K
Potential profit: $6.35K
Multiplier: 1.59x
User PnL: $3.49K

No position

Will Australia win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 14, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $10.61K
Potential profit: $10.61K
User PnL: -$8.81K

Yes position

Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.5%
Current value: $950
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.05K
Multiplier: 10.53x
User PnL: -$1.65K

No position

Kash Patel out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 94.5%
Current value: $9.31K
Potential payout: $9.85K
Potential profit: $541.81
Multiplier: 1.06x
User PnL: $5.47K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.87K
Potential profit: $8.87K
User PnL: -$1.12K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 40 and 45 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $8.16K
Potential profit: $8.16K
User PnL: -$1.02K

Yes position

Will there be between 5 and 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $29.78
Potential payout: $6.62K
Potential profit: $6.59K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$555.8

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 14–16 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.17K
Potential profit: $5.17K
User PnL: -$594.65

Yes position

Will Fabiano Caruana win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.15K
Potential profit: $5.15K
User PnL: -$118.02

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 7, 2026?

Ends Feb 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5.04K
Potential profit: $5.04K
User PnL: -$93.26

Yes position

Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 31.5%
Current value: $1.57K
Potential payout: $4.98K
Potential profit: $3.41K
Multiplier: 3.17x
User PnL: $751.94

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 45 and 50 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.67K
Potential profit: $4.67K
User PnL: -$666.42

ETH position

First to 5k: Gold or ETH?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.51K
Potential profit: $4.51K
User PnL: -$1.94K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?

Implied probability: 90.5%
Current value: $3.93K
Potential payout: $4.34K
Potential profit: $412.4
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $1.85K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 90 million or more views on week 1?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.08K
Potential profit: $4.08K
User PnL: -$39.15

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get 50 million or more views on day 1?

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.93K
Potential profit: $3.93K
User PnL: -$3.93

Yes position

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 9.9%
Current value: $330.03
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $3.02K
Multiplier: 10.15x
User PnL: -$160.5

Yes position

Will there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

Implied probability: 17.5%
Current value: $586.35
Potential payout: $3.35K
Potential profit: $2.76K
Multiplier: 5.71x
User PnL: $95.81

No position

Odds of Khamenei out by March 31 over 40% in February?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3.29K
Potential profit: $3.29K
User PnL: -$1.07K

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will "The Great Flood" be the top US Netflix movie this week? (December 30, 2025)

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.62K

Yes position

Will the U.S. collect less than $100b in revenue in 2025?

Ends Feb 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $34.5K

No position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $25.67K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get less than 25 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $22.58K

Yes position

Will the US officially declare war on Venezuela in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $19.29K

Yes position

Will the Australian hero donation campaign raise between $2.25 million and $2.5 million by December 16?

Ends Dec 16, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $18.13K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 25–30 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $16.41K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $100,000 and $102,000 on November 6?

Ends Nov 6, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $13.09K

No position

US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.66K

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $92,000 on November 19?

Ends Nov 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.55K

Yes position

Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?

Ends Nov 4, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $11.3K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's latest video get 18–20 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.55K

No position

Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.45K

Yes position

Will Pepper win the Defi App trading competition?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.19K

Yes position

Will ZKsync win 2025 Uniswap Cup?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $10.11K

Yes position

Will the US not strike Iran by January 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $9.63K

Yes position

US strikes Iran by February 9, 2026?

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $8.28K

No position

Will the Supreme Court rule on Trump's tarriffs by January 31?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $8.18K

Yes position

Will Javokhir Sindarov win the 2026 FIDE Candidates Tournament?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.11K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.1K

No position

Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.02K

Yes position

Will MrBeast's animal charity video get 21 million or more views on day 1?

Ends Oct 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.86K

Yes position

Will the median home value in the San Francisco Metro area be less than $1,060,000 by February 1?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $5.81K

Yes position

Will the Iranian regime fall by January 31?