Polymarket Trader

fuckpm

0xa8214a76e24da3bd037763b5d76216c33ca00bc8

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $1.57K
Realized PnL: $2.93K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 22
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$1

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $644
Potential payout: $800
Potential profit: $156
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: $30.5

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $223.42
Potential profit: $223.42
User PnL: -$70.03

No position

Will Andy Burnham be the next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 2.9%
Current value: $5.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $194.3
Multiplier: 35.09x
User PnL: -$6.3

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $69.08
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $130.92
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$1.12

No position

Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $720 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 60%
Current value: $120
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $80
Multiplier: 1.67x
User PnL: -$26

No position

Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in June?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 65%
Current value: $130
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $70
Multiplier: 1.54x
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 11.6%
Current value: $23.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $176.9
Multiplier: 8.66x
User PnL: -$2.7

Yes position

Will Yvette Cooper be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.3%
Current value: $24.6
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175.4
Multiplier: 8.13x
User PnL: -$9.2

Yes position

Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 19.6%
Current value: $39.1
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $160.9
Multiplier: 5.12x
User PnL: -$0.7

No position

Will Ed Miliband be the next Chancellor of the Exchequer of the UK in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 47.5%
Current value: $95
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $105
Multiplier: 2.11x
User PnL: -$39

Yes position

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 86.4%
Current value: $172.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $27.3
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: -$3.3

No position

Romanian PM Bolojan out by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $166.7
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $33.3
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$2.1

Yes position

Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 32.5%
Current value: $65
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $135
Multiplier: 3.08x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Felipe Curi win the Governor of Rio de Janeiro election?

Ends Oct 5, 2026

Implied probability: 8.6%
Current value: $17.18
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $182.82
Multiplier: 11.64x
User PnL: -$6.22

Yes position

Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 25?

Ends May 25, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $105.02
Potential profit: $105.02
User PnL: -$103.96

Yes position

S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $740 on May 19?

Ends May 19, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $49.99
Potential profit: $49.99
User PnL: -$0.05

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $48.99
Potential profit: $48.99
User PnL: -$0.05

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 12?

Ends May 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $5
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: -$0.7

Down position

WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.89
Potential profit: $2.89
User PnL: -$0.26

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.36
Potential profit: $1.36
User PnL: -$0.3

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $574.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $291.86

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $263.45

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C or higher on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $202.32

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $190.15

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $166.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $157

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on June 3?

Ends Jun 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.27

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 13?

Ends Jun 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $91.17

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C or higher on May 28?

Ends May 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $86.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 8?

Ends Jun 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $85.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on May 27?

Ends May 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $80.01

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $74.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 34°C on June 1?

Ends Jun 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 37°C or higher on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.22

No position

Will South Korea be the highest-scoring team in Group A during the Group Stage of the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $48

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.12

Yes position

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 22.8%
Multiplier: 4.40x
User PnL: $41.8

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 10?

Ends Jun 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $40.87

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $37.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $33.98

No position

US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?

Ends May 26, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $32

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 11% 113.61 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?

Yes 13% 61.01 shares
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,000 in June?

No 30.5% 123.72 shares
Will Anthropic IPO by July 31, 2026?

Yes 1% 93.77 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

No 74.8% 9.34 shares
Will Antonio Reynoso win the NY-07 Democratic Primary by less than 5%?

No 85.3% 32.29 shares
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?

Yes 48% 302.62 shares
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Yes 22.9% 135 shares
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Yes 75% 200 shares
Will Cait Conley be the Democratic nominee for NY-17?

No 10% 24.9 shares
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

No 90.7% 200 shares
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on June 16?

Yes 27% 106.26 shares

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