Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.1%
- Current value
- $589.23
- Potential payout
- $754.45
- Potential profit
- $165.22
- Multiplier
- 1.28x
- User PnL
- $8.3
Polymarket Trader
0xa82d...7212
0xa82d85c02adf6508e927ae2d3734af439b367212
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $722.85
- Realized PnL
- -$16.07
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 12
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
No position
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 78.6%
- Current value
- $133.63
- Potential payout
- $170.12
- Potential profit
- $36.49
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$9.44
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $184.13
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $77.74
No position
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- $6.89
Yes position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.07
No position
Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.82
No position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.75
Yes position
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 2.1%
- Multiplier
- 48.78x
- User PnL
- $0.86
Yes position
Will the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?
Ends Feb 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.43
No position
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
Ends Nov 7, 2028- Implied probability
- 90.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- -$10.69
Yes position
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- -$34.97
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$65.36
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$184.74
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 80% 699.36 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.2% 490.61 shares
- Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?Yes 85% 1,061.89 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.2% 861.62 shares
- Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?Yes 3.1% 861.62 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75.2% 90.7 shares
- Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 75% 380.01 shares
- Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?No 84.1% 79.2 shares
- Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?No 90.9% 971.37 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes 1.3% 9.84 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?Yes 1% 514.52 shares
- Will Ethereum hit $5,000 by December 31?No 98.5% 506.9 shares